Short-Term-Zombie-Reserve
0x6242c555f22902cae449e87c43a8e31ddc394cd0
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
34
Open notional
$2.84
Total PnL
$-56.14
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 34- YES
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.95
$-0.05
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 9.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.63
$-0.37
- YES
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?
31 shares @ 3.2¢·now 1.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.47
$-0.53
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $115 in July?
60 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.3¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?
15 shares @ 6.7¢·now 1.2¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.18
$-0.82
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?
8 shares @ 13.1¢·now 1.8¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.14
$-0.86
- YES
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?
43 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.11
$-0.89
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?
16 shares @ 6.2¢·now 0.6¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.10
$-0.90
- YES
Will XRP reach $1.40 in July?
56 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through July 26?
5 shares @ 21.0¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$1.54Jul 27, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill CXMT IPO by July 31, 2026?$1.04Jul 25, 20:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on July 27?$1.01Jul 25, 20:34 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$0.00Jul 25, 18:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - July 25, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET$5.30Jul 25, 17:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on July 25?$1.07Jul 25, 17:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $65,000 on July 25?$1.07Jul 25, 17:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.40 in July?$1.07Jul 25, 17:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $62,000 July 20-26?$1.07Jul 25, 17:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on July 26?$1.07Jul 25, 17:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by July 31, 2026?$1.00Jul 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime fall before 2027?$1.00Jul 25, 17:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?$1.00Jul 25, 17:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill U.S. viewership of the 2026 FIFA World Cup Final be at least 58 million?$1.05Jul 25, 17:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Team Vitality vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Season$1.05Jul 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYLoL: Top Esports vs ThunderTalk Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend$1.05Jul 25, 17:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by August 31?$1.00Jul 25, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by July 31?$1.00Jul 25, 17:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in July?$1.03Jul 25, 17:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in July?$1.04Jul 25, 17:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 52/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.93
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 12, 19:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 22:37 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.