Outlandish-Mattock
0x627a0123bef3dfa869183b806a39c91cf9afcdc2
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
11
Open notional
$101.2K
Total PnL
$25.6K
Realised
$202.14
Win rate
82%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- NO
Will Ethereum reach $6,500 by December 31, 2026?
22000 shares @ 78.0¢·now 97.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$21.4K
$4.3K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,000 by December 31, 2026?
20000 shares @ 61.8¢·now 96.4¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$19.3K
$6.9K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $5,500 by December 31, 2026?
17804 shares @ 70.4¢·now 95.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$17.0K
$4.5K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $4,500 by December 31, 2026?
15000 shares @ 53.7¢·now 93.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$14.0K
$6.0K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,000 by December 31, 2026?
8702 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.1¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$8.5K
$1.2K
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $7,500 by December 31, 2026?
8000 shares @ 86.7¢·now 97.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$7.8K
$855.97
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $10,000 by December 31, 2026?
5940 shares @ 89.7¢·now 98.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$5.8K
$504.27
- NO
Will Ethereum reach $3,500 by December 31, 2026?
3500 shares @ 82.6¢·now 85.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.0K
$102.50
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $800 by December 31, 2026?
3000 shares @ 71.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$2.7K
$555.00
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
1432 shares @ 61.9¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.2K
$294.67
Recent activity
- YIELD$8.86Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$8.88Jul 28, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$8.90Jul 27, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$8.91Jul 26, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$8.90Jul 25, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$8.90Jul 24, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$8.91Jul 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$8.91Jul 22, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.91Jul 21, 20:06 UTC
- YIELD$8.91Jul 21, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.91Jul 19, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$8.90Jul 18, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$8.91Jul 17, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$8.89Jul 16, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$8.89Jul 15, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$8.89Jul 14, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$8.88Jul 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$8.89Jul 12, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$8.88Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$8.88Jul 10, 00:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
29/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
82% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
1 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 57/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 1
- Avg trade size
- $490.58
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 00:17 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 29, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.