Harsh-Clay
0x629a030f39bfdc6ee5309220b57570aed7ab3160
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$674.39
Total PnL
$-5.60
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Fed rate hike in 2026?
400 shares @ 25.0¢·now 42.5¢·exp Dec 9, 2026$170.00
$70.00
- NO
Will United Russia win 355 or more seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
143 shares @ 69.8¢·now 83.5¢·exp Sep 20, 2026$119.63
$19.63
- NO
NATO x Russia military clash by June 30, 2026?
117 shares @ 85.5¢·now 97.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$114.17
$14.17
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
105 shares @ 95.1¢·now 99.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$104.15
$4.15
- NO
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
149 shares @ 26.9¢·now 41.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$61.64
$21.64
- YES
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?
71 shares @ 70.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$57.50
$7.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?
270 shares @ 37.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$47.30
$-52.70
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?
3333 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the March 2026 meeting?
2500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 18, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?
333 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 29, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?$100.00May 5, 20:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYFed rate hike in 2026?$100.00Mar 29, 14:14 UTC
- TRADESELLUkraine signs peace deal with Russia by March 31?$102.68Mar 26, 21:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $180 by end of March?$105.51Mar 26, 21:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$35.41Mar 26, 21:04 UTC
- TRADESELLNothing Ever Happens: Crypto Edition$102.47Mar 22, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$11.09Mar 22, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?$12.94Mar 18, 22:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?$11.49Mar 16, 08:51 UTC
- REDEEMDucks vs. Canadiens$23.26Mar 16, 08:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Stephen Miran dissent the next Fed decision?$10.00Mar 15, 21:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by December 31, 2026?$50.00Mar 15, 21:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS forces enter Iran by March 31?$30.00Mar 15, 21:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYDucks vs. Canadiens$10.00Mar 15, 21:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill AC Milan win on 2026-03-15?$10.00Mar 15, 21:01 UTC
- TRADESELLJazz vs. Kings$9.83Mar 15, 21:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Kings$10.00Mar 15, 20:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Emmanuel Grégoire win the Paris mayor election?$10.00Mar 15, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (LOW) $5,000 by end of March?$10.00Mar 15, 20:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $74,000 March 9-15?$20.00Mar 15, 20:35 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $51.43
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 11, 18:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 5, 20:21 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.