Lumpy-Tin
0x62ad81eddc36cc1e26234c908a69277bce9779fc
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$889.02
Total PnL
$-382.40
Realised
$1.0K
Win rate
84%
50 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in between ten and twelve nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
1173 shares @ 16.7¢·now 37.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$436.95
$241.45
- YES
Will Republican House incumbents not win in more than fifteen nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?
1647 shares @ 16.7¢·now 16.3¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$267.64
$-6.86
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be less than 1600.00 at the end of December 2026?
77 shares @ 16.7¢·now 42.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$32.34
$19.51
- YES
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?
66 shares @ 3.0¢·now 40.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$26.89
$24.88
- YES
Will the official USD to ARS exchange rate be between 1700.00 and 1799.99 at the end of December 2026?
159 shares @ 16.7¢·now 6.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.39
$-16.04
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 400000 and 425000 vehicles in Q2 2026
158 shares @ 11.1¢·now 6.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$10.06
$-7.54
- YES
Will Tom Cotton be the next Senate Majority Leader?
163 shares @ 1.6¢·now 4.6¢·exp Jan 3, 2027$7.50
$4.95
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 375000 and 400000 vehicles in Q2 2026
152 shares @ 11.1¢·now 4.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$6.00
$-10.88
- YES
Will Tesla deliver between 350000 and 375000 vehicles in Q2 2026
158 shares @ 11.1¢·now 3.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$5.78
$-11.82
- YES
Will "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?
317 shares @ 20.0¢·now 1.4¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$4.28
$-59.10
Recent activity
- CONVERSION NBA Playoffs: Finals MVP$288.00Jun 14, 00:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Victor Wembanyama win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$240.26Jun 14, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Karl-Anthony Towns win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$281.01Jun 14, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OG Anunoby win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$197.72Jun 14, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jalen Brunson win the 2026 NBA Finals MVP?$141.84Jun 14, 00:58 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$1.35Jun 14, 00:45 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.29Jun 14, 00:43 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.30Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.07Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$0.25Jun 14, 00:31 UTC
- REWARD$1.37Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- MERGEWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$63.13Jun 13, 23:38 UTC
- CONVERSION"Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office$123.80Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 47m?$62.12Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 43m and 47m?$24.76Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 39m and 43m?$101.52Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 39m?$123.43Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Disclosure Day" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 35m?$123.68Jun 13, 23:37 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?$26.20Jun 13, 23:30 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in another European country?$42.26Jun 13, 23:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 16
- Avg trade size
- $86.09
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 13, 23:11 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 00:59 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 50 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.