Medical-Dentist-Noon
0x62b258f7bfca4542c1474a7feaea7f7ce313f214
Wallet digest
Activity score
54/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
26
Open notional
$16.23
Total PnL
$-160.23
Realised
$0.77
Win rate
30%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Iran full airspace closure by December 31?
50 shares @ 51.0¢·now 27.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$13.50
$-12.00
- YES
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?
5 shares @ 45.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.73
$0.47
- YES
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?
334 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- TAYLOR FRITZ
Halle Open: Taylor Fritz vs Frances Tiafoe
150 shares @ 49.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2026$0.00
$-73.49
- YES
Will the World Cup Final national anthem last less than 80 seconds?
80 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-5.60
- YES
Will USD reach 1.8M Iranian rials by June 30?
50 shares @ 65.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-32.50
- YES
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
38 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-2.01
- NO
Will Trump be in the WC Champions Photo?
25 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-0.18
- VIT KOPRIVA
Halle Open: Alexander Zverev vs Vit Kopriva
20 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 22, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-01?
17 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
Recent activity
- TRADESELLNational Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor$168.79Aug 5, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor$203.16Aug 5, 20:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor$81.59Aug 5, 20:32 UTC
- TRADESELLNational Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz$80.00Aug 5, 19:39 UTC
- TRADESELLNational Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor$1.53Aug 5, 19:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Thiago Agustin Tirante vs Taylor Fritz$79.00Aug 5, 19:19 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$7.19Aug 5, 17:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYNational Bank Open: Alexander Zverev vs Tallon Griekspoor$1.04Aug 5, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran Hormuz Agreement by August 15?$9.00Aug 4, 13:28 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar$0.38Aug 3, 19:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Rafael Jodar$1.04Aug 3, 18:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in August?$2.25Aug 3, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran full airspace closure by December 31?$25.50Aug 2, 02:19 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz$0.29Aug 2, 00:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz$0.31Aug 2, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz$0.19Aug 1, 23:59 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz$24.00Aug 1, 23:31 UTC
- TRADESELLMubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz$6.00Aug 1, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Brandon Nakashima vs Taylor Fritz$29.00Aug 1, 23:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYMubadala Citi DC Open: Taylor Fritz vs Alex Michelsen$1.04Jul 31, 22:30 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
30% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
50 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 62/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $23.75
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 24, 23:37 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 5, 21:28 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.