Dim-Pavilion
0x62b693faefa16e0d75b4b9c4ea7485c09d69eec6
Wallet digest
Activity score
41/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
200
Open notional
$10.46
Total PnL
$-267.79
Realised
$-2.27
Win rate
1%
188 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 200- YES
Will Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?
302 shares @ 2.0¢·now 1.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.17
$-2.83
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
2 shares @ 41.1¢·now 44.1¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.07
$0.07
- YES
Will PSV win on 2026-08-15?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 60.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.99
$-0.01
- YES
Will FC Utrecht vs. AZ end in a draw?
4 shares @ 25.0¢·now 24.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-14?
2 shares @ 42.0¢·now 41.0¢·exp Aug 14, 2026$0.98
$-0.02
- YES
Will Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-15?
2 shares @ 58.0¢·now 56.5¢·exp Aug 15, 2026$0.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
7 shares @ 13.9¢·now 12.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.89
$-0.11
- YES
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
4 shares @ 26.8¢·now 23.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.87
$-0.13
- NO
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?
3 shares @ 38.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.30
$-0.70
- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
3 shares @ 33.0¢·now 7.6¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.23
$-0.77
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Fortuna Sittard win on 2026-08-15?$1.02Aug 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill PSV win on 2026-08-15?$1.02Aug 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill FC Utrecht vs. AZ end in a draw?$1.04Aug 11, 18:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Telstar 1963 win on 2026-08-14?$1.03Aug 11, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill De Graafschap win on 2026-08-09?$1.03Aug 4, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jong AZ Alkmaar win on 2026-08-10?$1.02Aug 4, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf be head of state in Iran end of 2026?$1.00Aug 4, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Iran ceasefire continues through August 31?$1.00Jul 26, 17:46 UTC
- REDEEMSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$2.70Jul 19, 22:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ shots$1.05Jul 19, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLLionel Messi: 3+ shots$2.24Jul 19, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5$1.03Jul 19, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYExact Score: Spain 1 - 2 Argentina?$1.05Jul 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: O/U 10.5 Total Corners$2.03Jul 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 3+ shots$2.06Jul 19, 19:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYLionel Messi: 1+ assists$3.11Jul 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYLamine Yamal: 1+ assists$2.08Jul 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina to score first vs. Spain?$1.03Jul 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score$2.04Jul 19, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYFabián Ruiz: 1+ goals$1.04Jul 19, 18:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Attention signal
62/100Resolved history and copy-risk checks are strong enough to use this wallet as market context.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
1% win rate over 188 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 31/100.
188 closed markets, 1% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $1.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 12, 15:23 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 11, 18:40 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 188 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.