Lumbering-Goggles
0x62d4cda9adaf5d1eb05d1c83a8df2c04dfd40e6c
Wallet digest
Activity score
36/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
13
Open notional
$2.92
Total PnL
$-30.74
Realised
$-7.80
Win rate
0%
13 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?
1 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.47
$0.47
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?
1 shares @ 69.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$1.45
$0.45
- CARANO
MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano
154 shares @ 4.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 18?
67 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 18?
34 shares @ 2.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- DIAZ
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
23 shares @ 29.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-6.86
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?
18 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET
13 shares @ 11.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 19, 2026$0.00
$-1.51
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET
8 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 17, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on May 18?
3 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.57May 19, 01:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$0.03May 19, 01:01 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$1.61May 19, 01:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET$8.65May 19, 00:59 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$8.41May 19, 00:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$8.11May 19, 00:57 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$8.35May 19, 00:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET$6.20May 19, 00:55 UTC
- TRADESELLDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$0.78May 19, 00:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYDogecoin Up or Down - May 18, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET$10.28May 19, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.05May 17, 04:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 29°C on May 18?$1.03May 17, 04:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 25°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 04:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Toronto be 26°C on May 18?$1.05May 17, 04:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Tokyo be 28°C or higher on May 18?$1.02May 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?$1.02May 17, 04:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?$1.02May 17, 04:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "Transgender" this week?$1.02May 17, 04:11 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$1.03May 17, 04:06 UTC
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Ronda Rousey vs. Gina Carano$4.10May 17, 04:02 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
34/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 13 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
36 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
13 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $2.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 17, 02:56 UTC
- Last active
- May 19, 01:02 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 13 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.