Black-And-White-Sleepiness
0x62e3c84db191be58ebebf3a56fe615eb2aff58a6
Wallet digest
Activity score
30/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
20
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-294.62
Realised
$-101.10
Win rate
0%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 20- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 26?
186 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.49
- NO
Will the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 23?
166 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 23, 2026$0.00
$-5.39
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $92,000 and $94,000 on January 28?
164 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.02
- DOWN
Solana Up or Down - March 31, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
152 shares @ 26.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-39.76
- NO
Will the price of Solana be above $60 on June 26?
147 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.32
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - January 23, 12PM ET
138 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 23, 2026$0.00
$-1.10
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?
122 shares @ 1.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.20
- YES
Will the price of XRP be above $2.00 on January 21?
111 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 21, 2026$0.00
$-3.56
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $73,000 on April 19?
109 shares @ 26.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 20, 2026$0.00
$-29.19
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on January 27?
107 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.56
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,700 and $1,800 on July 26?$1.59Jul 25, 19:44 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$157.24Jul 16, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on July 16?$155.51Jul 15, 22:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be above $60 on June 26?$1.41Jun 25, 23:58 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$185.40May 30, 18:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$0.40May 29, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $1,900 on May 30?$182.78May 29, 19:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be between $1,900 and $2,000 on May 27?$1.99May 26, 22:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 23?$2.31May 22, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Solana be between $80 and $90 on May 23?$3.45May 22, 17:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?$214.03May 20, 18:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on May 20?$212.53May 20, 02:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase May 12-18?$3.01May 18, 05:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be between $1.30 and $1.40 on May 12?$1.29May 11, 22:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?$167.50May 11, 19:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?$0.36May 11, 02:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $76,000 and $78,000 on May 11?$165.97May 11, 02:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on May 10?$2.35May 10, 01:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill XRP dip to $1.30 April 20-26?$209.80Apr 27, 06:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP dip to $1.30 April 20-26?$206.44Apr 26, 17:47 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
0% win rate over 11 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
34 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
11 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $64.36
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 28, 11:52 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 25, 19:44 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.