Frugal-Tassel
0x6326973e5f2cab0931daf0108246039d77dc86e5
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
7
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-292.09
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Solana above $190 on February 14?
210 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2025$0.00
$-82.52
- FLAMES
Capitals vs. Flames
169 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2026$0.00
$-75.89
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 25?
137 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 25, 2025$0.00
$-68.42
- NO
Solana above $190 on January 17?
65 shares @ 54.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 17, 2025$0.00
$-34.86
- CANELO
Boxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford
45 shares @ 62.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Sep 15, 2025$0.00
$-27.59
- YES
Ethereum above $3,400 on January 24?
3 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 24, 2025$0.00
$-1.48
- YES
Will USA win the NHL 4 Nations Face-Off?
3 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 20, 2025$0.00
$-1.33
Recent activity
- REDEEMGrizzlies vs. Kings$114.78Feb 5, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYGrizzlies vs. Kings$58.54Feb 4, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYCapitals vs. Flames$75.89Jan 23, 20:05 UTC
- REDEEMSteelers vs. Browns$26.29Dec 30, 22:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYSteelers vs. Browns$9.99Dec 25, 13:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$12.41Dec 20, 06:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$11.58Dec 14, 07:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$81.61Dec 9, 22:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ciprian Ciucu be the next Mayor of Bucharest?$46.52Dec 2, 23:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBoxing: Canelo Álvarez vs. Terence Crawford $27.59Sep 13, 09:28 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $3,600 on August 8?$54.50Aug 9, 04:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $3,600 on August 8?$39.24Aug 6, 22:15 UTC
- REDEEMFIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) $314.14Jul 5, 23:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYFIFA Club World Cup: PSG vs. Bayern (To Advance) $182.20Jul 3, 13:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$67.15Jun 12, 01:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Carlos Alcaraz win Wimbledon 2025?$70.59Jun 9, 12:17 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down on May 11?$270.38May 11, 20:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down on May 11?$162.23May 10, 17:45 UTC
- REDEEMEthereum above $1,600 on April 25?$166.57Apr 26, 04:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum above $1,600 on April 25?$89.95Apr 20, 01:23 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
2/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 54/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $49.96
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jan 4, 11:19 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 5, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.