Rotten-Bladder
0x6328c4ebcf1aebbad3288776e0f221800959609b
Wallet digest
Activity score
95/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
29
Open notional
$353.23
Total PnL
$-22.1K
Realised
$188.12
Win rate
100%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Trump wins a solid blue state?
202 shares @ 84.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$202.38
$32.38
- NO
Trump blowout victory?
151 shares @ 86.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$150.85
$20.77
- YES
Will Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?
39510 shares @ 35.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-13.9K
- YES
Will a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?
6760 shares @ 37.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-2.5K
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 4-5%?
4381 shares @ 8.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-369.99
- YES
Will a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?
3352 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-163.99
- KAMALA
Favorite to win on Polymarket day before election?
2664 shares @ 5.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 4, 2024$0.00
$-148.56
- YES
Will a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?
2180 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Democrats win popular vote by 2-3%?
2124 shares @ 14.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2025$0.00
$-300.00
- YES
Kamala Harris wins the popular vote?
2115 shares @ 53.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 5, 2024$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.00Nov 6, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$20.00Nov 6, 03:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$100.00Nov 6, 03:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 6, 03:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 6, 03:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 6, 03:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 6, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris be inaugurated?$10.00Nov 6, 03:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kamala Harris win the 2024 US Presidential Election?$102.00Nov 6, 03:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$100.00Nov 6, 03:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.00Nov 6, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$20.00Nov 6, 03:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Pennsylvania Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 6, 01:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Georgia Presidential Election?$50.00Nov 6, 01:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.00Nov 6, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYKamala Harris wins the popular vote?$10.00Nov 6, 01:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$10.00Nov 6, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.50Nov 6, 01:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Democrat win Texas in the 2024 US Presidential Election?$1.50Nov 6, 01:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYRecord turnout in 2024 Presidential election?$50.00Nov 6, 01:37 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $81.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 5, 14:49 UTC
- Last active
- Nov 6, 03:33 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.