Same-Ball
0x634ada97a5ec882af2cddb8f05a9bef6d5f7f7ef
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
27
Open notional
$106.11
Total PnL
$-92.01
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 27- NO
Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?
106 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 10, 2026$106.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
1663 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.33
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on April 10?
1052 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-3.16
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $76,000 on April 10?
1021 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.04
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be between $2,300 and $2,400 on March 27?
790 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.58
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on April 15?
724 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.45
- YES
Will the price of Ethereum be above $2,400 on April 10?
696 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-2.78
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 13 to April 15, 2026?
694 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 15, 2026$0.00
$-1.39
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from March 7 to March 9, 2026?
661 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-2.50
- YES
Will the price of XRP be between $1.00 and $1.10 on March 9?
635 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 9, 2026$0.00
$-1.27
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $345 Week of July 6 2026?$106.00Jul 10, 09:29 UTC
- REDEEMWill Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$11.78Jul 10, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Canada vs. Morocco end in a draw?$8.67Jul 3, 10:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$102.10Jul 3, 10:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $200 in June?$102.00Jun 30, 09:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$102.90Jun 30, 09:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from June 18 to June 20, 2026?$102.81Jun 19, 13:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?$102.80Jun 19, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $100 Week of June 1 2026?$102.61Jun 5, 12:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Peter Milobar win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$11.32Jun 5, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.53Jun 5, 12:00 UTC
- REDEEMNetanyahu out by May 31?$78.77Jun 5, 12:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetanyahu out by May 31?$78.69May 31, 04:56 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$78.69May 31, 04:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 30?$78.54May 30, 11:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Google have the best Coding AI model at the end of May 2026?$12.50May 30, 11:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$90.88May 30, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Pete Hegseth win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$91.03May 30, 10:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$90.88May 30, 10:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Erika Kirk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$91.03May 30, 10:27 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $79.68
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 20, 12:59 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 10, 09:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.