Hilarious-Behavior
0x6389e94bf4597daa5b943aa288655b8d673d991e
Wallet digest
Activity score
90/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
4
Open notional
$503.07
Total PnL
$-0.10
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?
501 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 1, 2026$500.67
$0.50
- NO
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?
1 shares @ 93.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$1.08
$0.08
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 29?
1 shares @ 99.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 29, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Insurrection Act invoked by December 31?
2 shares @ 55.0¢·now 17.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.32
$-0.68
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$1.00May 28, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,400 in May?$500.21May 28, 07:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on May 29?$1.00May 28, 07:54 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?$517.29May 28, 07:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,200 in February?$511.00Feb 1, 14:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$502.02Feb 1, 14:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $1,800 in January?$500.28Jan 18, 09:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYInsurrection Act invoked by December 31?$1.00Jan 18, 09:32 UTC
- REDEEMWill Solana reach $500 before 2026?$500.50Jan 18, 09:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Solana reach $500 before 2026?$500.00Dec 27, 14:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$527.17Dec 27, 14:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $150,000 in November?$524.01Nov 12, 09:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$524.01Nov 12, 09:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $200k in October?$522.96Oct 27, 16:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?$522.96Oct 27, 15:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum dip to $2400 in September?$522.44Sep 29, 03:13 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $6500 in August?$522.44Sep 29, 03:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $6500 in August?$517.22Aug 23, 05:24 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon tweet less than 80 times May 30–June 6?$517.22Aug 23, 05:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon tweet less than 80 times May 30–June 6?$516.70Jun 1, 09:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $309.46
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 28, 14:33 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 07:54 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.