Waterlogged-Misnomer
0x63c126981a7560667e38e7581082568571da70d7
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$3.6K
Total PnL
$-293.43
Realised
$-22.38
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $200 by end of June?
352 shares @ 85.3¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$344.57
$44.57
- NO
Will Russia invade another country in 2026?
350 shares @ 85.7¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$309.75
$9.75
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by June 30?
313 shares @ 95.8¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$308.92
$8.93
- YES
Will Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by December 31, 2026?
857 shares @ 53.9¢·now 35.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$304.13
$-157.90
- NO
Starmer out by May 19, 2026?
224 shares @ 89.4¢·now 97.5¢·exp May 19, 2026$218.23
$18.23
- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?
221 shares @ 90.5¢·now 96.8¢·exp May 31, 2026$213.81
$13.81
- YES
Will the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?
213 shares @ 93.8¢·now 97.9¢·exp May 28, 2026$208.79
$8.79
- NO
Will ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?
204 shares @ 97.9¢·now 99.5¢·exp May 24, 2026$203.27
$3.27
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
218 shares @ 91.7¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$201.85
$1.85
- NO
Will Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?
234 shares @ 85.6¢·now 84.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$197.42
$-2.58
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.04May 18, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in May 2026?$200.00May 17, 21:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 19, 2026?$200.85May 17, 21:31 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$312.17May 17, 03:45 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 17, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$223.71May 16, 07:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 16, 00:14 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.05May 15, 11:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$5.00May 15, 11:48 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 15, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 14, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 13, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYStarmer out by May 15, 2026?$200.85May 12, 15:08 UTC
- YIELD$0.04May 12, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Italy recognize Palestine before 2027?$201.15May 11, 14:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of Korea make no change to the base rate after the May Meeting?$200.62May 11, 14:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYKadyrov out as Head of the Chechen Republic by June 30, 2026?$150.35May 11, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?$200.95May 11, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel win Eurovision 2026?$300.58May 11, 08:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ELAM win the most seats at the Cyprus House of Representatives election?$200.17May 11, 08:48 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $187.32
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 19, 00:10 UTC
- Last active
- May 18, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".