Brown-Will
0x63caa615fef950b29090ba8e07397d088f641e15
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
37
Open notional
$30.65
Total PnL
$-81.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before GTA VI?
21 shares @ 53.0¢·now 50.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$10.48
$-0.52
- NO
Will GPT-6 be released before GTA VI?
13 shares @ 39.0¢·now 46.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$5.96
$0.96
- NO
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
6 shares @ 72.0¢·now 84.0¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.67
$0.67
- YES
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
11 shares @ 61.0¢·now 29.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.39
$-3.61
- NO
Will China invades Taiwan before GTA VI?
6 shares @ 51.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$2.91
$-0.09
- NO
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.80
$-2.20
- YES
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
6 shares @ 17.0¢·now 6.3¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.37
$-0.63
- YES
Mamdani opens city-owned grocery store by June 30?
5 shares @ 22.0¢·now 1.6¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.07
$-0.93
- YES
GTA VI released in 2025?
244 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
- NO
Will the Government shutdown end by January 31?
188 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-3.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMIsrael x Hamas ceasefire cancelled by March 31, 2026?$7.66May 28, 22:17 UTC
- REDEEMFed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?$1.02Jan 5, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$1.04Jan 5, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMEpstein client list released in 2025?$3.30Jan 5, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.21Jan 5, 19:38 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Leo XIV be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$4.76Dec 10, 13:43 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 25, 00:02 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 24, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 23, 00:01 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 22, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 21, 00:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein confirmed as foreign agent in 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 22:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$3.00Nov 20, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYEpstein client list released in 2025?$1.00Nov 20, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump release the Epstein files by November 30?$1.00Nov 20, 21:57 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 20, 00:00 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 19, 00:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Nov 18, 00:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump create a tariff dividend in 2025?$1.00Nov 17, 22:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire in 2025?$5.00Nov 17, 22:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 22
- Avg trade size
- $1.50
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 8, 16:34 UTC
- Last active
- May 28, 22:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".