Careful-Hacksaw
0x63d4133ce6662de647d907bd7547a07a622dd4e8
Wallet digest
Activity score
75/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$2.7K
Total PnL
$-5.1K
Realised
$50.99
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- YES
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6250 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$1.1K
$53.13
- YES
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6024 shares @ 16.6¢·now 16.1¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$966.87
$-33.13
- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
6878 shares @ 11.5¢·now 9.7¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$663.71
$-127.23
- YES
US/Israel strike on Fordow nuclear facility by March 31?
3548 shares @ 55.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.0K
- YES
NVIDIA largest company in July?
1477 shares @ 27.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2024$0.00
$-398.77
- YES
Will Iran strike Cyprus in March?
1282 shares @ 39.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 7, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
- YES
Will Mike Tyson win his boxing match against Jake Paul?
1141 shares @ 30.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2024$0.00
$-342.37
- YES
Will France win the 2024 Euros?
1010 shares @ 19.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 14, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- NO
NVIDIA largest company before July?
796 shares @ 25.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 28, 2024$0.00
$-200.00
- YES
Will another country strike Iran by March 31?
794 shares @ 63.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-500.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.24Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 12, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 11, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 10, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 8, 00:16 UTC
- YIELD$0.25Jun 7, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.24Jun 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 5, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$811.95Jun 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJun 4, 21:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.0KJun 4, 21:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$112.81Apr 2, 16:09 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$2.7KMar 31, 17:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump talk to Mohammed bin Salman in March?$18.26Mar 18, 21:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$1.3KMar 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$1.3KMar 10, 22:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYMojtaba Khamenei seen in public by March 31?$1.4KMar 10, 21:26 UTC
- REDEEMWill Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 15?$500.00Mar 9, 16:40 UTC
- REDEEMWill Iran strike Israel on March 9?$598.65Mar 9, 16:40 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 39
- Avg trade size
- $551.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 10:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 00:13 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.