Grave-Meander
0x63d69277c784d6885f83ca290799a2df43d7e3db
Wallet digest
Activity score
81/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
3
Open notional
$35.05
Total PnL
$0.05
Realised
$-0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will XRP reach $1.60 in July?
12 shares @ 99.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 1, 2026$12.04
$0.04
- NO
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
12 shares @ 99.7¢·now 99.9¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$12.02
$0.02
- NO
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?
11 shares @ 98.1¢·now 98.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$10.99
$-0.01
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$12.00Jul 27, 09:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jesus Christ return before 2027?$11.01Jul 27, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill XRP reach $1.60 in July?$12.00Jul 27, 09:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?$14.17Jul 27, 09:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$20.18Jul 27, 09:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US confirm that aliens exist by June 30?$20.01Jun 10, 03:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ethereum reach $2,500 in June?$14.01Jun 10, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$12.14Jun 10, 03:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$12.63Jun 10, 03:51 UTC
- REDEEMTrump out as President by April 30?$10.01Jun 10, 03:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $250 by end of June?$12.56Apr 30, 02:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump out as President by April 30?$10.00Apr 30, 02:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$12.00Apr 30, 02:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?$17.02Apr 30, 02:15 UTC
- REDEEMWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of March?$17.57Apr 30, 02:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Microsoft (MSFT) close above $480 end of March?$17.54Mar 25, 14:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,600 by end of March?$17.00Mar 25, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $190 on March 23?$13.04Mar 25, 14:05 UTC
- REDEEMWill Meta (META) close above $630 on March 23?$21.50Mar 25, 14:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meta (META) close above $630 on March 23?$21.41Mar 22, 12:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $17.30
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 22, 09:24 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 27, 09:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.