Internal-Essay
0x63eeabb40206cfaed4976dbe5c55f58c9645a622
Wallet digest
Activity score
52/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
26
Open notional
$0.50
Total PnL
$-47.03
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 26- YES
Will Carlos Álvarez win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Mistral have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Trump endorse an Israeli Ceasefire in Lebanon by April 30?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 16, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from April 17 to April 24, 2026?
950 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 24, 2026$0.00
$-0.95
- YES
Will Darnell Nurse win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?
834 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Chet Holmgren win the 2025–2026 NBA Defensive Player of the Year?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Vicky Dávila win the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Dawn Buckingham win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 26, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Joao Pedro be the top goal scorer in the 2025–26 English Premier League season?
500 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Mike Turitto win The Bachelorette Season 22?$1.90May 9, 16:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $1.33May 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?$0.19May 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $40 by end of June?$0.68May 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$0.80May 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELL2026 Balance of Power: Other$0.96May 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill LeBron James win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.96May 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Williams be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion?$0.49May 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill New Zealand win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.97May 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rick Caruso win the California Governor Election in 2026?$0.96May 1, 16:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in the UAE?$2.50May 1, 16:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Apr 29, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?$0.92Apr 19, 20:44 UTC
- TRADESELLInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$0.69Apr 19, 20:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Silver (SI) hit (HIGH) $230 by end of June?$1.00Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Darnell Nurse win the 2025–2026 NHL James Norris Memorial Trophy?$1.00Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk buy Ryanair?$1.00Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill MegaETH perform an airdrop by June 30? $1.00Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US officially declare war on Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYInternet Access restored in Iran by April 30, 2026?$1.00Apr 16, 21:58 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 49
- Avg trade size
- $2.15
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 10, 20:11 UTC
- Last active
- May 9, 16:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.