Murky-Chow
0x6406102b2a67e987021169910c178ac8aa7dbc04
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
18
Open notional
$856.82
Total PnL
$-69.56
Realised
$-24.72
Win rate
50%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?
382 shares @ 57.2¢·now 57.6¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$219.90
$1.34
- NO
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
200 shares @ 82.0¢·now 81.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$162.97
$-1.02
- NO
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
230 shares @ 66.0¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$150.56
$-1.15
- YES
Will Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?
59 shares @ 85.0¢·now 86.5¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$50.88
$0.88
- YES
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
77 shares @ 55.8¢·now 55.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.77
$-0.19
- NO
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
116 shares @ 36.5¢·now 36.6¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$42.54
$0.18
- YES
Will Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?
168 shares @ 26.8¢·now 24.2¢·exp May 7, 2026$40.66
$-4.37
- NO
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?
186 shares @ 22.0¢·now 18.5¢·exp May 25, 2026$34.41
$-6.51
- YES
US federally charges ex-Cuba leader Raul Castro?
200 shares @ 16.0¢·now 16.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$32.00
$0.00
- DIAZ
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry
62 shares @ 39.0¢·now 39.5¢·exp May 17, 2026$24.63
$0.31
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$4.0831s ago
- TRADESELLWill Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026?$9.892m ago
- TRADESELLWill Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$24.9412m ago
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$20.5024m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026?$218.5636m ago
- TRADEBUYWill Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?$42.2658m ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$50.001h ago
- TRADESELLWill Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$1.051h ago
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?$93.861h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Ohio use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?$75.651h ago
- TRADESELLWill Reform UK win the most seats in the 2026 Welsh Senedd election?$29.501h ago
- TRADESELLWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$15.212h ago
- TRADESELLWill Finland win Eurovision 2026?$65.502h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$0.772h ago
- TRADEBUY MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry$3.123h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Shohei Ohtani win the 2026 National League MVP Award?$7.203h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$8.863h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?$6.743h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.773h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?$4.103h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 48
- Avg trade size
- $30.47
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 9h ago
- Last active
- 31s ago
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".