Frightening-Forecast
0x6423ab25b2be965064382d1164c1ead7012429cd
Wallet digest
Activity score
34/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
70
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-684.61
Realised
$-29.21
Win rate
11%
9 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 70- NO
Will Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?
3350 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-13.40
- NO
Will Trump visit China by May 15?
2843 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.30
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET
2029 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-39.99
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET
282 shares @ 53.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-151.18
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET
185 shares @ 24.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-44.43
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET
158 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-5.58
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
122 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-11.22
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET
100 shares @ 26.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-26.99
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET
94 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 26, 2026$0.00
$-9.35
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET
93 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 28, 2026$0.00
$-0.93
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump visit China on May 13, 2026?$13.40May 13, 10:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$4.01May 12, 20:20 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$4.04May 12, 20:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.84May 12, 20:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET$2.07May 12, 20:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$1.06May 12, 20:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET$3.11May 12, 20:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.06May 12, 20:07 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.12May 12, 20:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.05May 12, 20:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET$1.03May 12, 20:05 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$10.12May 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.87May 12, 20:04 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$0.86May 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.04May 12, 20:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.03May 12, 20:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.03May 12, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.03May 12, 20:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET$1.03May 12, 20:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET$1.06May 3, 18:46 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $5.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 2, 16:59 UTC
- Last active
- May 13, 10:08 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 9 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".