Average-Pneumonia
0x642815e7dcdee085e7b1cfb739ba49cd4b0e1fcc
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$21.36
Total PnL
$-3.64
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- YES
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?
7 shares @ 69.0¢·now 68.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.96
$-0.04
- NO
AI bubble burst in 2026?
6 shares @ 84.3¢·now 79.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.69
$-0.31
- YES
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?
4 shares @ 54.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.66
$1.66
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?
3 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$3.30
$0.30
- YES
Will 2026 be the hottest year on record?
9 shares @ 35.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$-0.86
- YES
Will Trump say "See what happens" this week? (April 19)
1 shares @ 73.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 19, 2026$1.37
$0.37
- YES
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?
1 shares @ 87.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$1.15
$0.15
- NO
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?
10 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.8¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.08
$-0.92
- NO
Israel x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?
9 shares @ 11.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 13, 2026?
5 shares @ 40.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?$1.00Apr 13, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 17:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 19, 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYIsrael x Lebanon diplomatic meeting by April 14, 2026?$1.00Apr 13, 17:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI bubble burst in 2026?$5.00Apr 13, 16:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31?$5.00Apr 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$3.00Apr 13, 16:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump say "See what happens" this week? (April 19)$1.00Apr 13, 16:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 2026 be the hottest year on record?$3.00Apr 13, 16:34 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump publicly insult someone on April 13, 2026?$2.00Apr 13, 16:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?$2.00Apr 13, 16:29 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 11
- Avg trade size
- $2.27
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Apr 13, 16:29 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 13, 17:19 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.