Happy-Go-Lucky-Allergist
0x6430f77e3dc31b0d77140138dc0d028001dad6e7
Wallet digest
Activity score
65/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
9
Open notional
$473.52
Total PnL
$-3.9K
Realised
$-136.43
Win rate
25%
4 closed
Largest open positions
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1550 by December 31?
1870 shares @ 69.1¢·now 20.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$373.95
$-918.27
- YES
Will any AI model reach a Chatbot Arena score of at least 1600 by December 31?
510 shares @ 30.6¢·now 11.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$56.09
$-100.23
- YES
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
47 shares @ 90.0¢·now 90.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$42.23
$-0.02
- NO
Will the fight be won by submission?
1 shares @ 54.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.25
$0.57
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?
5000 shares @ 1.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.00
$-75.00
- YES
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?
3471 shares @ 23.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-828.87
- YES
Will the fight be won by submission?
3252 shares @ 51.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-1.7K
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 15, 2026?
1359 shares @ 8.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-112.09
- NO
Will a Claude Mythos model be released by June 30, 2026?
544 shares @ 5.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$0.00
$-31.01
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?$250.00Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- MAKER_REBATE$6.20Jun 10, 00:45 UTC
- REWARD$0.10Jun 10, 00:15 UTC
- REWARD$3.84Jun 10, 00:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$307.63Jun 9, 15:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$401.35Jun 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$411.79Jun 9, 15:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$18.40Jun 9, 15:09 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$331.19Jun 9, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$291.20Jun 9, 15:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$426.99Jun 9, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.4KJun 9, 15:07 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$4.55Jun 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the next Claude Mythos model added to the Arena Leaderboard debut at a score of at least 1550?$187.50Jun 9, 15:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$0.25Jun 9, 08:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$0.08Jun 9, 08:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$19.84Jun 9, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 9, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 9, 07:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill a Claude Mythos model be released by July 31, 2026?$3.05Jun 9, 07:18 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 45
- Avg trade size
- $349.29
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 8, 07:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 11, 18:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.