Buoyant-Relative
0x64312ee8a4b1faf0a0b5d613aa10d934482e47c5
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
17
Open notional
$28.52
Total PnL
$-46.33
Realised
$-1.45
Win rate
33%
3 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Will Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 97.7¢·now 99.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$20.32
$0.32
- YES
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?
12 shares @ 41.0¢·now 49.5¢·exp Oct 4, 2026$6.04
$1.04
- YES
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?
19 shares @ 34.0¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$2.17
$-4.24
- UP
BNB Up or Down - May 11, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET
5 shares @ 91.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 11, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET
5 shares @ 97.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
5 shares @ 98.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Dogecoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Solana Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 7, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
Hyperliquid Up or Down - May 8, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 8, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- DOWN
BNB Up or Down - May 10, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET
5 shares @ 99.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?$1.04Jun 1, 11:10 UTC
- REDEEMUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$5.15Jun 1, 10:49 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$9.07May 31, 12:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$6.16May 31, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$10.26May 31, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$5.00May 31, 05:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$21.51May 29, 03:05 UTC
- TRADESELLUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$4.85May 27, 20:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$5.00May 27, 20:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$10.00May 27, 13:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$7.01May 27, 13:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$4.00May 27, 13:36 UTC
- TRADESELLAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?$4.84May 27, 13:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYAbbas Araghchi out as Minister of Foreign Affairs of Iran by May 31, 2026?$5.00May 27, 13:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$5.00May 27, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$4.09May 27, 13:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina dollarize by June 30, 2026?$3.00May 27, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia capture Pokrovka by May 31?$1.00May 27, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?$1.02May 27, 02:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?$1.00May 27, 01:54 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 34
- Avg trade size
- $5.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 02:20 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 11:10 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 3 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.