Guilty-Format
0x643eab6c401ef1b0a21ed09db094e8a59881a6c7
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$8.13
Total PnL
$-12.5K
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 13.2¢·now 11.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.13
$-1.24
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET
4492 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-2.2K
- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET
2278 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2278 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET
2278 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 22, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET
2246 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET
2246 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET
2240 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2238 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - October 23, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET
2236 shares @ 50.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 23, 2025$0.00
$-1.1K
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$9.37Mar 18, 02:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?$1.06Mar 18, 02:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$8.00Mar 18, 02:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "The Rip" be the top global Netflix movie this week? (February 3)$7.76Feb 2, 07:03 UTC
- REDEEMAI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?$1.01Feb 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?$1.02Feb 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?$1.04Feb 2, 07:01 UTC
- REDEEMWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$2.55Feb 2, 07:01 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the Bank of New Zealand make no change to the official cash rate after the February decision?$1.00Jan 4, 09:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYAI Industry Downturn by December 31, 2025?$1.00Dec 15, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sam Altman get OpenAI equity in 2025?$1.00Dec 8, 02:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Atlas have a Windows app live by December 31?$1.00Dec 1, 03:31 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?$2.50Nov 24, 06:38 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$60.00Nov 17, 08:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$28.50Nov 17, 07:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 17, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET$30.00Nov 17, 07:39 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$80.00Nov 10, 09:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYEthereum Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$38.50Nov 10, 08:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$26.00Nov 10, 08:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - November 10, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET$14.00Nov 10, 08:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $626.73
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Oct 23, 02:06 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 18, 02:45 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".