Lined-Waterwheel
0x643f0fad9d90bf0a9ebf6a9bbebd134b58b192c6
Wallet digest
Activity score
64/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
152
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-334.60
Realised
$42.76
Win rate
86%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 152- NO
US government shutdown Saturday?
10850 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-31.99
- NO
Will the government shutdown last 4 days or more?
2855 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-17.40
- YES
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from February 12 to February 14, 2026?
1006 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 14, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1005 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will Lady Gaga win 3 Grammys?
1000 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from January 31 to February 2, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from January 27 to February 3, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 3, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will turnout in the first round of the 2026 Costa Rican Presidential Election be between 70% and 72%?
933 shares @ 1.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 1, 2026$0.00
$-12.24
- YES
Will the US strike Nigeria next?
475 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Trump visit China by May 15?$1.03May 2, 19:05 UTC
- REDEEMUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$2.00May 2, 19:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?$1.97Apr 28, 02:54 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Arsenal win the 2025–26 Champions League?$1.35Apr 11, 15:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?$1.00Feb 25, 20:27 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$1.42Feb 25, 20:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Juventus FC vs. Galatasaray SK end in a draw?$1.00Feb 25, 20:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Galatasaray SK win on 2026-02-25?$4.00Feb 25, 20:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?$0.91Feb 23, 04:43 UTC
- TRADESELLUS strikes Iran by March 15, 2026?$1.36Feb 23, 04:43 UTC
- REDEEMWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?$1.96Feb 20, 00:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill GNK Dinamo Zagreb win on 2026-02-19?$1.00Feb 19, 18:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?$1.00Feb 19, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?$1.00Feb 19, 18:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-02-19?$2.00Feb 19, 12:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bologna FC 1909 win on 2026-02-19?$1.00Feb 19, 12:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Fenerbahçe SK win on 2026-02-19?$1.00Feb 19, 12:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 12:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from February 13 to February 20, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 12:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $2.04
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 17, 22:23 UTC
- Last active
- May 2, 19:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".