0x6447af09e484f912a05ec5c35d1c8142935e4759
0x6447af09e484f912a05ec5c35d1c8142935e4759
Wallet digest
Activity score
85/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
8
Open notional
$111.19
Total PnL
$0.34
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
32 shares @ 93.0¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$29.19
$-0.81
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?
15 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 1, 2026$15.11
$0.11
- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
15 shares @ 96.7¢·now 99.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$14.95
$0.44
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?
13 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 5, 2026$13.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?
13 shares @ 99.2¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$13.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 30?
10 shares @ 99.3¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$10.41
$0.07
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?
10 shares @ 99.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 2, 2026$10.10
$0.10
- NO
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?
5 shares @ 95.8¢·now 100.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2026$5.22
$0.22
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$1.70Apr 29, 08:56 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 22°C on April 30?$10.34Apr 29, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 17°C on April 30?$5.01Apr 29, 08:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in London be 16°C on April 30?$13.01Apr 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from April 28 to May 5, 2026?$13.01Apr 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?$15.01Apr 29, 08:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-164 tweets from April 30 to May 2, 2026?$10.00Apr 29, 08:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Meituan have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.69Apr 29, 08:42 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 2?$5.24Apr 29, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 2?$9.99Apr 29, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?$9.99Apr 29, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 2?$9.99Apr 29, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$13.99Apr 29, 08:41 UTC
- REDEEMWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$15.55Apr 29, 08:41 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from April 2 to April 4, 2026?$13.89Apr 2, 03:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C on April 2?$9.80Apr 2, 03:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Wellington be 21°C or higher on April 2?$5.01Apr 2, 03:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sporting win the 2025–26 Champions League?$15.35Apr 2, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$14.51Apr 2, 03:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,200 on April 2?$9.88Apr 2, 03:16 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $12.86
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 3, 03:12 UTC
- Last active
- Apr 29, 08:56 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.