Helpless-Sandwich
0x6452eee1d08be21886bafcc4cc41ef4bb53130a1
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
36
Open notional
$12.9K
Total PnL
$-13.2K
Realised
$-581.05
Win rate
29%
7 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 36- NO
Ukraine signs peace deal with Russia before 2027?
2788 shares @ 71.7¢·now 78.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.2K
$188.35
- NO
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?
2451 shares @ 81.6¢·now 77.8¢·exp Jul 29, 2026$1.9K
$-94.06
- YES
Will John Thune win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
513496 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$1.3K
$-3.1K
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?
2857 shares @ 35.0¢·now 37.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.1K
$71.43
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?
1088 shares @ 91.9¢·now 79.6¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$866.19
$-133.81
- NO
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?
1446 shares @ 69.1¢·now 54.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$788.21
$-211.79
- NO
Base FDV above $10B one day after launch?
1015 shares @ 65.0¢·now 72.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$731.14
$71.01
- NO
Base FDV above $12B one day after launch?
859 shares @ 69.5¢·now 82.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$708.49
$111.79
- NO
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?
758 shares @ 66.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jan 1, 2028$549.54
$49.54
- YES
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?
2122 shares @ 23.5¢·now 25.5¢·exp Apr 30, 2027$541.24
$41.24
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?$1.0KJul 28, 15:09 UTC
- YIELD$0.28Jul 28, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.29Jul 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.23Jul 26, 00:14 UTC
- TAKER_REBATE$2.23Jul 26, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $50,000 by December 31, 2026?$1.0KJul 25, 09:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $40,000 by December 31, 2026?$528.73Jul 25, 09:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.16Jul 25, 00:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$130.33Jul 24, 15:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 24, 14:48 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.06Jul 24, 14:47 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 24, 14:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 24, 14:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 24, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.11Jul 24, 14:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 24, 12:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 24, 11:31 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.01Jul 24, 10:53 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 24, 10:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.00Jul 24, 10:17 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
23/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Open-position PnL can disappear if liquidity, exit price, or final resolution changes.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
29% win rate over 7 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
44 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
7 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $61.77
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 23, 22:06 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 28, 15:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 7 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.