Neglected-Keyboard
0x645829596c996aa787a02d971ab02b08501630f6
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
31
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-272.77
Realised
$8.69
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 31- YES
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?
2294 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-37.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET
2000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- NO
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
1637 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?
544 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-26.00
- NO
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?
222 shares @ 9.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 31, 2026$0.00
$-20.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET
222 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 6, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 7?
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?
79 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 2, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET
48 shares @ 39.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 2, 2026$0.00
$-19.02
- YES
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 15?
44 shares @ 14.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 15, 2026$0.00
$-6.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Timothée Chalamet win Best Actor at the 98th Academy Awards?$15.00Mar 16, 02:05 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?$5.47Mar 16, 02:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?$8.93Mar 16, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 326: Reinier de Ridder vs. Caio Borralho (Middleweight, Main Card)$13.00Mar 6, 09:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester United FC win on 2026-03-15?$5.00Mar 6, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-14?$5.00Mar 6, 09:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sunderland AFC win on 2026-03-14?$2.00Mar 6, 09:23 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$0.00Mar 6, 09:22 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$10.50Mar 6, 09:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET$5.00Mar 6, 09:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 6, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET$2.00Mar 6, 09:14 UTC
- REDEEMMavericks vs. Magic$6.49Mar 6, 06:18 UTC
- REDEEMWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?$15.63Mar 6, 06:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYCounter-Strike: Inner Circle Esports vs FriendlyCampers (BO3) - Stake Ranked Episode 1: Closed Qualifier Playoffs$8.55Mar 5, 13:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYIran x Israel/US conflict ends by March 31?$10.00Mar 5, 08:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYJazz vs. Wizards$5.00Mar 5, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYMavericks vs. Magic$5.00Mar 5, 07:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-03-05?$5.00Mar 5, 07:46 UTC
- REDEEMWill Arsenal FC win on 2026-03-04?$8.47Mar 5, 03:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?$25.00Mar 5, 03:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $7.88
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 06:45 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 16, 02:05 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".