Sarcastic-Lycra
0x645a84a5aa4b82d6285df86c06541a0b53e5c9b0
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-70.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on February 25?
3617 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 5°C or below on February 27?
198 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C on February 27?
156 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 27, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on February 25?
119 shares @ 13.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on February 25?
105 shares @ 4.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on February 25?
104 shares @ 1.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or higher on February 25?
100 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NUGGETS
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets
80 shares @ 10.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Mar 1, 2026$0.00
$-8.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on February 25?
79 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 25, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET
53 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 25, 2026$0.00
$-7.97
Recent activity
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$0.03Mar 1, 23:29 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET$7.00Mar 1, 23:24 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$7.30Mar 1, 23:24 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 23:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET$31.00Mar 1, 23:21 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 2?$4.32Mar 1, 23:20 UTC
- TRADESELLWill the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?$10.59Mar 1, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET$50.00Mar 1, 23:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET$10.00Mar 1, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 23:04 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 22:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 22:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYTimberwolves vs. Nuggets$8.00Mar 1, 22:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 22:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 22:45 UTC
- REDEEMBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$0.00Mar 1, 22:42 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 22:40 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.46Mar 1, 22:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET$5.00Mar 1, 22:37 UTC
- TRADESELLBitcoin Up or Down - March 1, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET$97.06Mar 1, 22:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 36
- Avg trade size
- $12.57
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 25, 14:50 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 1, 23:29 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".