Whimsical-Selfconfidence-Production
0x648d4b486e5a785bccc8a26e776655e449813868
Wallet digest
Activity score
68/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
6
Open notional
$68.80
Total PnL
$-28.73
Realised
$-16.98
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
- NO
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?
50 shares @ 75.0¢·now 72.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$36.25
$-1.25
- NO
Will Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?
50 shares @ 39.0¢·now 28.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$14.00
$-5.50
- NO
Will Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?
50 shares @ 32.0¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$13.25
$-2.75
- YES
Will Iran close its airspace by August 31?
8 shares @ 44.2¢·now 34.5¢·exp Sep 1, 2026$2.76
$-0.78
- NO
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?
5 shares @ 58.0¢·now 27.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.38
$-1.52
- NO
Will Iran close its airspace by June 30?
1 shares @ 77.7¢·now 81.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$1.17
$0.05
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$19.50Jun 14, 03:06 UTC
- REWARD$5.22Jun 14, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $710 in June?$37.50Jun 13, 14:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$7.80Jun 13, 08:50 UTC
- REWARD$4.11Jun 13, 00:00 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?$16.00Jun 12, 23:50 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$9.20Jun 12, 14:53 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$12.20Jun 12, 12:54 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$5.70Jun 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$1.90Jun 12, 11:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?$13.60Jun 12, 11:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?$7.80Jun 12, 04:55 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Anthropic have the #3 AI model at the end of July 2026?$14.80Jun 12, 04:10 UTC
- TRADESELLUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$10.40Jun 12, 04:02 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$9.80Jun 12, 03:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS announces new Iran agreement/ceasefire extension by June 19?$9.40Jun 12, 00:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?$2.90Jun 11, 18:46 UTC
- MERGEWill Iran close its airspace by June 30?$80.00Jun 11, 18:21 UTC
- MERGEWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$89.86Jun 11, 18:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close its airspace by August 31?$7.20Jun 11, 18:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $8.94
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 11, 17:26 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 14, 03:06 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 2 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.