Aromatic-Joke
0x6498a2809763e755089b3f6130e01c563e971fc1
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
98
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-1.8K
Realised
$-5.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 98- YES
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?
3198 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-10.34
- NO
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?
2546 shares @ 11.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-290.94
- NO
Will Polymarket US go live in 2025?
2500 shares @ 0.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?
1250 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?
850 shares @ 1.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 2, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?
625 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 25, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Government shutdown end November 16 or later?
500 shares @ 3.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 15, 2025$0.00
$-16.00
- YES
Fed decreases interest rates by 50+ bps after December 2025 meeting?
455 shares @ 1.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 10, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 11 to November 18, 2025?
400 shares @ 2.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 18, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
Recent activity
- TRADESELLUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$116.88Jun 1, 11:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?$86.58May 26, 15:28 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?$87.12May 26, 14:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$2.07Mar 12, 07:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$108.50Mar 2, 15:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.25Mar 2, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$1.10Mar 2, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.00Mar 2, 15:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$30.00Mar 2, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$4.91Mar 2, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$6.94Mar 2, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$12.07Mar 2, 15:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$3.00Mar 2, 15:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$0.08Mar 2, 15:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?$119.02Mar 2, 15:22 UTC
- TRADESELLUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$289.27Mar 2, 14:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran ceasefire by March 6?$255.69Mar 1, 07:14 UTC
- TRADESELLKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$255.69Mar 1, 07:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?$166.32Feb 28, 14:04 UTC
- REDEEMWill US or Israel strike Iran by March 31, 2026?$161.29Feb 28, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 47
- Avg trade size
- $54.07
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Feb 12, 08:12 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 1, 11:36 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".