Rotten-Networking
0x6498da40417988421bfab749027bad7c50df28f9
Wallet digest
Activity score
66/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
71
Open notional
$1.80
Total PnL
$-326.00
Realised
$1.46
Win rate
80%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 71- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
15 shares @ 33.0¢·now 10.7¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$1.62
$-3.38
- YES
Will Vitinha win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?
118 shares @ 8.5¢·now 0.1¢·exp Oct 31, 2026$0.18
$-9.82
- SPAIN
Spread: Spain (-2.5)
143 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 19, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
125 shares @ 4.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-23?
124 shares @ 2.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2026$0.00
$-3.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-07-01?
114 shares @ 1.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
- YES
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
96 shares @ 10.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- NO
Will Spain win on 2026-06-21?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 21, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Tottenham be relegated from the English Premier League after the 2025–26 season?
72 shares @ 13.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 27, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Cabo Verde win on 2026-06-15?
59 shares @ 3.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 15, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$13.89Jul 20, 01:53 UTC
- REDEEMWill Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$31.62Jul 20, 01:48 UTC
- REDEEMWill Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$7.36Jul 20, 00:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$20.69Jul 19, 22:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$20.58Jul 19, 18:56 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 19, 00:13 UTC
- TRADESELLWill France win on 2026-07-18?$8.24Jul 18, 22:42 UTC
- TRADESELLFrance vs. England: Team to Win$3.72Jul 18, 22:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win on 2026-07-18?$1.05Jul 18, 21:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$2.07Jul 18, 21:19 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?$14.22Jul 18, 21:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYFrance vs. England: Team to Win$20.33Jul 18, 16:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-2.5)$10.46Jul 18, 16:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 18, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 17, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 16, 00:12 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-15?$2.20Jul 15, 20:41 UTC
- TRADESELLWill England win on 2026-07-15?$4.38Jul 15, 20:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-15?$5.16Jul 15, 17:53 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
27/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
80% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
33 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $7.23
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 7, 17:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 20:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.