Buoyant-Appeal
0x64bbed0081baa91d14666adfeeef4b0925e39cd9
Wallet digest
Activity score
50/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
85
Open notional
$0.00
Total PnL
$-453.26
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 85- DOWN
Ethereum Up or Down - November 23, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET
1042 shares @ 1.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
753 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Aston Villa vs. Arsenal end in a draw?
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 6, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 23, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET
500 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
- NO
Based FDV above $50M one day after launch?
333 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$0.00
$-1.00
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 23, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET
150 shares @ 2.7¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 3 to April 10, 2026?
144 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 10, 2026$0.00
$-4.76
- UP
Ethereum Up or Down - November 23, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET
119 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 23, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 26 to January 2, 2026?
109 shares @ 4.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 2, 2026$0.00
$-5.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from November 28 to December 5, 2025?
102 shares @ 4.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-5.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMSpread: Spain (-1.5)$10.00Jul 19, 22:23 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-1.5)$8.08Jul 19, 10:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from July 14 to July 21, 2026?$1.77Jul 19, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYArgentina vs. Switzerland: O/U 2.5$5.17Jul 12, 01:29 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: England (-1.5)$20.00Jul 11, 23:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$14.99Jul 11, 15:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$10.00Jun 30, 19:19 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$10.00Jun 30, 18:39 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win on 2026-06-30?$4.67Jun 30, 12:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$4.42Jun 30, 12:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from June 23 to June 30, 2026?$5.71Jun 30, 12:46 UTC
- REDEEMSpread: Croatia (-1.5)$10.00Jun 27, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Croatia (-1.5)$7.56Jun 27, 12:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from June 16 to June 23, 2026?$6.52Jun 22, 12:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: England (-1.5)$6.96Jun 17, 14:06 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$10.00Jun 16, 20:33 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpread: Spain (-2.5)$5.97Jun 15, 13:35 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?$1.36Jun 15, 13:34 UTC
- REDEEMWill SpaceX's market cap be greater than $1T at market close on IPO day?$5.10Jun 13, 10:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Brazil win on 2026-06-13?$2.99Jun 10, 13:33 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 47/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $6.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 6, 12:30 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 19, 22:23 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.