Colossal-Pantology
0x64ca44177c2a00431684b36e14b4a246ce9a3d5d
Wallet digest
Activity score
58/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
144
Open notional
$2.49
Total PnL
$-351.58
Realised
$15.47
Win rate
57%
21 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 144- YES
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
15 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.11
$-0.01
- YES
Will Byron Donalds win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.11
$-0.01
- YES
Will Robert F. Kennedy Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.8¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.11
$-0.02
- YES
Will Sarah Huckabee Sanders win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.7¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.10
$-0.02
- YES
Will Greg Abbott win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
10 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.9¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.09
$-0.00
- YES
Will Brian Kemp win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.08
$-0.05
- YES
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.08
$-0.04
- YES
Will Eric Trump win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
15 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.08
$-0.04
- YES
Will Beto O’Rourke win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.07
$-0.07
- YES
Will George Clooney win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.7¢·now 0.4¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$0.07
$-0.07
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.15Jul 21, 03:46 UTC
- TRADEBUYSpain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance$25.73Jul 19, 17:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Wes Moore win the 2028 US Presidential Election?$0.12Jul 16, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Jasmine Crockett win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.12Jul 16, 01:14 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$0.20Jul 7, 17:21 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill United States win on 2026-07-06?$51.29Jul 7, 00:36 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.12Jul 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 13:46 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?$0.00Jul 4, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tim Walz win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.12Jul 4, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Elon Musk win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 02:06 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ghana win on 2026-07-03?$38.15Jul 4, 02:03 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Marjorie Taylor Greene win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 01:57 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Rand Paul win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Greg Abbott win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ruben Gallego win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Barack Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hillary Clinton win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 01:56 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Raphael Warnock win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 01:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?$0.13Jul 4, 01:55 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
43/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
57% win rate over 21 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
42 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 37/100.
21 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 42
- Avg trade size
- $4.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 27, 00:13 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 21, 03:46 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 21 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.