Knotty-Mover
0x64d278a1337a14919f3761067ee2e86196ce3d8e
Wallet digest
Activity score
63/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
13
Open notional
$17.12
Total PnL
$-147.85
Realised
$-1.17
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 13- YES
Will Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
71 shares @ 14.0¢·now 12.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.57
$-1.43
- YES
Will Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
77 shares @ 13.0¢·now 11.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.46
$-1.54
- YES
Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?
57 shares @ 5.3¢·now 0.1¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.08
$-2.92
- NO
Will Trump win FIFA Peace Prize?
382 shares @ 3.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 5, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
167 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-20.00
- YES
Will Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
163 shares @ 14.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-23.30
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 2 to December 9, 2025?
148 shares @ 10.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 9, 2025$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Matthias Bluebaum win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?
98 shares @ 5.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-4.86
- NO
Will Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?
96 shares @ 20.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 9, 2026$0.00
$-20.14
- YES
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?
87 shares @ 2.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$0.00
$-2.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Harry Kane win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.26Jun 4, 21:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Kylian Mbappé win the Golden Ball at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$10.26Jun 4, 21:07 UTC
- REDEEMWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$506.33Jun 4, 20:52 UTC
- REDEEMWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$32.94Jun 4, 20:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Green Left be part of the next Government of Denmark?$32.04Jun 1, 19:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Matthias Bluebaum win on 2026-04-05 at FIDE Candidates 2026 Open?$5.00Apr 5, 15:32 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Mette Frederiksen be the next prime minister of Denmark after the 2026 parliamentary elections?$400.00Mar 4, 11:17 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$38.67Feb 12, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?$40.00Feb 12, 22:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$5.00Feb 8, 19:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$3.69Feb 8, 00:33 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?$0.00Feb 7, 22:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Magnus Carlsen win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$20.00Feb 7, 22:30 UTC
- REDEEMWill Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$0.00Feb 7, 22:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$3.30Feb 7, 19:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Midtjylland win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?$2.00Feb 5, 14:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?$2.00Feb 5, 14:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?$3.00Feb 5, 13:54 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Denis Lazavik win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$2.99Feb 5, 13:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Hikaru Nakamura win the 2025–2026 Speed Chess Championship?$20.00Feb 5, 13:36 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 44
- Avg trade size
- $26.40
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 2, 14:25 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 4, 21:07 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".