Will Petr Yan fight Umar Nurmagomedov next?
Probability
11¢
1h
-0.1pp
24h
-0.4pp
24h Vol
$54.73
Liquidity
$2.5K
Probability (last 7 days)
+3.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 2 factors- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 2
Wide spread — 7.7¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5984.3h
- 15:40SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5984h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 09:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.9pp
to 15¢
- 08:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.8pp
to 15¢
- 06:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.5pp
to 14¢
- 02:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.7pp
to 12¢
- 00:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 11¢
- 22:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.2pp
to 11¢
- 21:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.1pp
to 11¢
- 20:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 11¢
- 18:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.7pp
to 13¢
- 17:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 12¢
- 16:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.1pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 10.0pp
to 12¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.3pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 9.1pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.7pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 8.8pp
to 11¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 10¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.9pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.6pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.1pp
to 11¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.8pp
to 12¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.2pp
to 11¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.1pp
to 11¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve according to the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC bout. Resolution for this market will be based on the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to fight, regardless of whether the fight ends up taking place. Only official announcements from the UFC, which include a scheduled date for the bout, will count. Announcements with no date or which do not confirm that the fight is official, speculation, or other unofficial announcements will not count. If Yan is officially announced to fight any non-listed fighter or no qualifying announcement is made by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the UFC (https://www.ufc.com/).
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- the next UFC fighter that Petr Yan is officially announced to face in a UFC boutAmbiguous wordingextracted · low
- Market type
- Multi-outcome (neg-risk)
- Part of a multi-outcome event (neg-risk): only one market can resolve YES.
- Wide spread (7.7¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).