Near-Tell
0x651a84ec4aab705bb3d8f4c831ef46ecdbc622e9
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
104
Open notional
$298.00
Total PnL
$151.82
Realised
$74.68
Win rate
100%
5 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 104- YES
Will Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?
172 shares @ 57.9¢·now 77.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$133.41
$33.70
- YES
Will Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?
77 shares @ 35.7¢·now 68.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$52.31
$24.87
- YES
Will John Pardon win the 2026 Fields Medal?
39 shares @ 31.9¢·now 67.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$26.01
$13.74
- YES
Will Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?
84 shares @ 39.8¢·now 26.5¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$22.35
$-11.18
- YES
Will Julian Sahasrabudhe win the 2026 Fields Medal?
54 shares @ 21.2¢·now 23.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$12.40
$0.95
- YES
Will Will Sawin win the 2026 Fields Medal?
36 shares @ 14.7¢·now 13.0¢·exp Jul 30, 2026$4.65
$-0.60
- YES
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
20 shares @ 0.8¢·now 23.2¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$4.63
$4.48
- YES
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
10 shares @ 0.6¢·now 33.3¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.33
$3.27
- YES
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
50 shares @ 5.1¢·now 6.5¢·exp Nov 7, 2028$3.22
$0.70
- YES
Will Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?
10 shares @ 34.0¢·now 32.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$3.20
$-0.20
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$3.00Jun 13, 08:03 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 13, 00:11 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Hong Wang win the 2026 Fields Medal?$8.90Jun 12, 18:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYDutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?$0.46Jun 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYDutch House of Representatives dissolved in 2026?$1.10Jun 12, 11:18 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$2.80Jun 12, 07:59 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$1.55Jun 12, 07:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$1.10Jun 12, 00:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$1.23Jun 12, 00:40 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 12, 00:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill SpaceX’s closing share price on its first day of trading be between $100 and $150?$1.41Jun 11, 23:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Jack Thorne win the 2026 Fields Medal?$7.00Jun 11, 19:15 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Yu Deng win the 2026 Fields Medal?$15.89Jun 11, 15:52 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$1.15Jun 11, 12:58 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 11, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Gukesh Dommaraju win the 2026 World Chess Championship?$3.40Jun 10, 18:05 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 10, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jun 9, 00:11 UTC
- REDEEMWill Praggnanandhaa Rameshbabu win Norway Chess 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 11:45 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alireza Firouzja win Norway Chess 2026?$0.00Jun 8, 11:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 33
- Avg trade size
- $3.03
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 2, 02:10 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 13, 08:03 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 5 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.