Elderly-Bug-Degree
0x653448e65e4bb1c4367c028f5756df9e8e032e43
Activity score
85/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
88
Open notional
$31.08
Total PnL
$-28.24
Realised
$5.83
Win rate
100%
11 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 88- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $88,000 on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.50
$0.50
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 10?
871 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.31
$0.44
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 10?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 10, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Jeremy Doku win the 2026 PFA Player of the Year?
389 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.58
$0.19
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be 37°F or below on May 9?
1014 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.51
$-0.51
- NO
Will the price of Ethereum be above $1,800 on May 10?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 10, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on May 9?
1001 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- NO
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 9?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 9, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
- YES
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
1000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.1¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.50
$-0.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 10?$0.012m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 10?$0.015m ago
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$0.016m ago
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$0.0112m ago
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$0.0214m ago
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$0.0117m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 9?$0.0118m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 10?$0.0130m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 10?$0.0130m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 10?$0.0130m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 58-59°F on May 10?$0.0130m ago
- TRADESELLWill Miguel Díaz-Canel be the next leader out before 2027?$0.8930m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 10?$0.1130m ago
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$0.0231m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 10?$0.0132m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 10?$1.0034m ago
- TRADESELLWill the highest temperature in Austin be between 70-71°F on May 10?$0.1635m ago
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$0.0135m ago
- TRADESELLWill global temperature increase by less than 1.10ºC in April 2026?$0.0439m ago
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Bitcoin be less than $70,000 on May 10?$0.0046m ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 50
- Avg trade size
- $0.17
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 2h ago
- Last active
- 2m ago
- Win rate sample
- 11 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".