Defensive-Sanity
0x65376c71d0611bff2adc6fad37e057578e81b9de
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
82
Open notional
$77.23
Total PnL
$3.2K
Realised
$4.3K
Win rate
92%
36 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 82- NO
Based FDV above $1B one day after launch?
38 shares @ 91.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$37.98
$3.42
- NO
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
20 shares @ 81.0¢·now 98.7¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$19.74
$3.54
- NO
Will 2026 be the third-hottest year on record?
20 shares @ 87.0¢·now 97.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$19.51
$2.11
- NO
Will Trump meet with Zelenskyy by December 31?
1000 shares @ 55.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-555.00
- YES
Ukraine agrees to US-approved peace plan by Thursday?
750 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Nov 27, 2025$0.00
$-0.75
- YES
Will Atrium Academy win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
617 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.17
- YES
Will Zora win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
611 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-6.11
- YES
Will Avalanche win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
593 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.93
- YES
Will Dune win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
536 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.36
- YES
Will Privy win 2025 Uniswap Cup?
509 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 1, 1970$0.00
$-5.09
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill Polymarket mindshare hit 80%?$20.00Mar 17, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?$40.00Mar 17, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMParadex FDV above $3B one day after launch?$50.00Mar 17, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill Anthropic have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?$6.29Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill it Snow in Miami this December?$10.40Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Temu: Shop Like a Billionaire be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on November 28?$17.86Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Keir Starmer in November?$20.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Death Stranding 2: On The Beach win Game of the Year at the 2025 Game Awards?$20.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be less than 18,000,000?$20.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Jimmy Kimmel rank in Google’s Top 5 Most Searched People of 2025?$20.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill no CEO be announced in 2025?$20.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump talk to Emmanuel Macron in November?$20.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump meet with Emmanuel Macron in November?$20.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill MicroStrategy announce holding 650k+ BTC by November 30?$20.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk be named in newly released Epstein files?$20.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMThailand strikes Cambodia by November 30?$24.88Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill the total number of TSA passengers for November 23-30 be between 18,000,000 and 20,000,000?$50.00Jan 13, 20:10 UTC
- REDEEMWill Zohran Mamdani be the #1 searched person on Google this year?$50.00Jan 13, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill Pope Francis be ranked #1 globally in Google’s Year in Search 2025 Passings?$50.00Jan 13, 20:09 UTC
- REDEEMWill James Solomon win the 2025 Jersey City mayoral election?$50.00Jan 13, 20:09 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 18
- Avg trade size
- $144.19
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Nov 27, 21:41 UTC
- Last active
- Mar 17, 09:00 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 36 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".