U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?
Probability
8¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+0.0pp
24h Vol
$42.50
Liquidity
$32.0K
Probability (last 7 days)
-4.0pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 1 factor- 1
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 1566h with open resolution ambiguity.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
Timeline
critical · price · trade flowCritical
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 1566.3h
- 17:44SignalLOW
Resolution risk
Expires in 1566h with open resolution ambiguity.
Price movement
+0.0pp over the last 24h, now 8¢.
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
Related Markets
7- 96¢+18.0pp
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $2.1M
- 91¢0.0pp
Boston Red Sox vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 7.5
Other · Vol $492.0K
- 0¢-1.5pp
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?
Other · Vol $475.9K
- 100¢+49.5pp
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $473.7K
- 100¢+59.5pp
Will 1. FC Heidenheim 1846 win on 2026-04-25?
Other · Vol $419.5K
- 1¢-0.1pp
Starmer out by April 30, 2026?
Other · Vol $370.0K
Market Description
The United States has suspended operations of the Embassy in Damascus since February 6, 2012. As of market creation, the Government of the Czech Republic serves as the protecting power for U.S. interests in Syria and provides limited consular services to U.S. citizens. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the U.S. government announces the reopening of its embassy in Damascus or if such a reopening is otherwise confirmed by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official announcement made within this market’s timeframe will qualify for a "Yes" resolution regardless of whether an actual embassy opening subsequently takes place within the timeframe. Any opening of a U.S. embassy in Damascus will qualify regardless of its exact location. Announcements that do not clearly commit to opening an embassy, such as general diplomatic statements, exploratory comments, or partial/conditional steps, will not count. The resolution source will be official statements from the Governments of the U.S. and Syria; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution & Risk
LOW risk- End date
- Jun 30, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- consensus of credible reportingNews consensusextracted · medium
- Market type
- Binary
- No obvious resolution-risk signals in metadata.
Alerts
In-app banners fire as soon as a rule is satisfied. Email, Telegram, and Discord delivery are coming soon — every existing rule will keep working without changes.