0x6557d5b81c73ee188d961fcff3bf653f8facb6ab
0x6557d5b81c73ee188d961fcff3bf653f8facb6ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
80/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
21
Open notional
$40.73
Total PnL
$-0.41
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 21- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
7 shares @ 62.6¢·now 78.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.46
$1.08
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 70.7¢·now 65.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$3.93
$-0.31
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 9?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$3.00
$1.35
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
9 shares @ 46.3¢·now 32.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.92
$-1.24
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
10 shares @ 27.8¢·now 28.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.80
$0.02
- NO
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 63.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$2.52
$0.48
- YES
Will there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?
2 shares @ 88.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 10, 2026$2.00
$0.24
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 23?
2 shares @ 91.0¢·now 95.7¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.91
$0.09
- NO
Megaquake by June 30?
2 shares @ 85.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$1.79
$0.09
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 23?
2 shares @ 61.0¢·now 88.5¢·exp May 23, 2026$1.77
$0.55
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?$1.08May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 24?$1.54May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?$1.36May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 23?$1.24May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 23?$1.20May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?$1.79May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?$1.04May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?$1.06May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 23?$1.46May 21, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 23?$1.83May 21, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?$1.04May 21, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY5kt meteor strike in 2026?$1.32May 9, 13:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?$1.30May 9, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?$1.42May 9, 13:43 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 8 and 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$1.34May 7, 13:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be more than 9 earthquakes of magnitude 5.5 or higher worldwide from May 4 - 10?$1.77May 7, 13:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 9?$1.69May 7, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?$1.75May 7, 13:05 UTC
- TRADEBUYMegaquake by June 30?$1.71May 7, 13:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYMajor meteor strike (10kt+) in 2026?$1.70May 7, 13:04 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $1.44
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- May 21, 13:38 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".