0x6557d5b81c73ee188d961fcff3bf653f8facb6ab
0x6557d5b81c73ee188d961fcff3bf653f8facb6ab
Wallet digest
Activity score
74/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
29
Open notional
$48.70
Total PnL
$-6.73
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 29- NO
Will there be exactly 1 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruption worldwide in 2026?
7 shares @ 62.6¢·now 75.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$5.29
$0.91
- NO
5kt meteor strike in 2026?
6 shares @ 70.7¢·now 74.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.47
$0.23
- NO
Will NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 31, 2026$4.00
$1.96
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?
3 shares @ 60.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$3.00
$1.20
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 3?
3 shares @ 57.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$3.00
$1.29
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 3?
3 shares @ 58.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$3.00
$1.26
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 9?
3 shares @ 55.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp May 9, 2026$3.00
$1.35
- NO
Will the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?
3 shares @ 68.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jul 3, 2026$3.00
$0.96
- NO
Will there be exactly 0 confirmed VEI 4 or higher volcanic eruptions worldwide in 2026?
9 shares @ 46.3¢·now 31.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.79
$-1.38
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
10 shares @ 27.8¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.45
$-0.33
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in London be 13°C on July 3?$2.07Jul 1, 18:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Singapore be 31°C on July 3?$1.92Jul 1, 18:50 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on July 3?$1.69Jul 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Seoul be 27°C on July 3?$1.84Jul 1, 18:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on July 3?$1.78Jul 1, 18:48 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Madrid be 37°C on July 3?$2.01Jul 1, 18:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Paris be 14°C on July 3?$1.75Jul 1, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Warsaw be 23°C on July 3?$1.54Jul 1, 18:44 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in New York City be between 58-59°F on May 23?$1.08May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 21°C on May 24?$1.54May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Miami be between 88-89°F on May 23?$1.20May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 37°C on May 23?$1.36May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 26°C on May 23?$1.24May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Seattle have between 0.5 and 1 inches of precipitation in May?$1.79May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?$1.04May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C or below on May 23?$1.06May 21, 13:38 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Manila be 36°C on May 23?$1.46May 21, 13:30 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Cape Town be 18°C on May 23?$1.83May 21, 13:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill NYC have between 2 and 3 inches of precipitation in May?$1.04May 21, 13:14 UTC
- TRADEBUY5kt meteor strike in 2026?$1.32May 9, 13:44 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
14/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 46/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $1.52
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 7, 12:28 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 1, 18:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.