Foolhardy-Morning
0x6558e038e3bbbb5576f0e14437246cdbc121f993
Wallet digest
Activity score
70/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
17
Open notional
$117.94
Total PnL
$-32.43
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 17- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?
40 shares @ 83.0¢·now 97.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$38.82
$5.62
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?
30 shares @ 73.0¢·now 74.5¢·exp Jul 15, 2026$22.35
$0.45
- YES
Will there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
122 shares @ 7.0¢·now 10.5¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$12.85
$4.28
- YES
U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?
20 shares @ 66.0¢·now 57.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$11.40
$-1.80
- YES
Will Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?
36 shares @ 19.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$8.66
$1.80
- NO
Trump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?
10 shares @ 73.0¢·now 80.5¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$8.05
$0.75
- NO
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
10 shares @ 33.0¢·now 79.0¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$7.90
$4.60
- YES
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?
20 shares @ 25.0¢·now 20.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$4.10
$-0.90
- YES
Trump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?
150 shares @ 4.3¢·now 2.5¢·exp Jul 1, 2026$3.81
$-2.64
- POIRIER
UFC 318: Holloway vs. Poirier
30 shares @ 45.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jul 20, 2025$0.00
$-13.50
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill there be 10+ missed penalties during the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$8.81Jun 22, 07:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$4.30Jun 22, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump announces US x Iran ceasefire over by June 30?$2.15Jun 22, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYU.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the U.S. by July 31?$13.20Jun 22, 07:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 15?$21.90Jun 22, 07:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?$2.11Jun 18, 19:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump attend 2 World Cup matches?$4.75Jun 18, 17:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYStrait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?$33.20Jun 16, 23:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYTrump orders federal review of AI model releases by June 30?$7.38Jun 16, 23:20 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?$5.00Jun 16, 23:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Trump agree to withdraw troops from the Iranian region by June 30?$3.00Jun 16, 23:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?$3.39Jun 16, 23:10 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)$20.00Jun 15, 05:43 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$13.00Jun 15, 03:58 UTC
- REDEEMUFC Freedom 250: Steve Garcia vs. Diego Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)$10.00Jun 15, 01:40 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Kyle Daukaus vs. Bo Nickal (Middleweight, Main Card)$1.25Jun 15, 01:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Michael Chandler vs. Mauricio Ruffy (Lightweight, Main Card)$1.90Jun 15, 00:36 UTC
- REDEEMUS recession in 2025?$0.00Jun 15, 00:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Aiemann Zahabi vs. Sean O'Malley (Bantamweight, Main Card)$10.21Jun 15, 00:25 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)$6.45Jun 15, 00:24 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 56/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $8.12
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 11, 05:39 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 22, 07:20 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.