Notable-Sitar
0x659c970982ac1b464fc419694b10c052b22ca086
Wallet digest
Activity score
100/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
37
Open notional
$6.9K
Total PnL
$302.83
Realised
$217.83
Win rate
100%
4 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 37- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
1181 shares @ 84.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.1K
$99.97
- NO
China x Philippines military clash before 2027?
1009 shares @ 78.6¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$912.92
$119.87
- NO
US recession by end of 2026?
576 shares @ 81.0¢·now 89.5¢·exp Jan 31, 2027$515.81
$48.72
- NO
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
500 shares @ 88.2¢·now 90.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$452.50
$11.50
- NO
Will Trump attend 0 World Cup matches?
400 shares @ 93.7¢·now 92.9¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$371.59
$-3.25
- NO
Will Trump speak to Kim Jong Un in July?
287 shares @ 97.8¢·now 98.0¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$280.72
$0.39
- YES
US x China tariff agreement by December 31?
300 shares @ 76.7¢·now 88.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$264.00
$34.00
- YES
Will there be between 11 and 13 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?
958 shares @ 24.4¢·now 24.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$234.82
$0.82
- NO
Will Trump and Putin meet next in China?
254 shares @ 86.8¢·now 88.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$224.84
$4.35
- NO
Will India strike Pakistan by December 31, 2026?
260 shares @ 74.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$214.50
$22.10
Recent activity
- TRADESELLWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?$95.00Jul 13, 13:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?$4.80Jul 13, 11:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?$37.44Jul 13, 11:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?$34.56Jul 13, 11:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill "Gus" - A Mounted Tyrannosaurus Rex Skeleton sell for at least $25m at auction?$115.43Jul 13, 10:51 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?$33.00Jul 13, 02:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 13, 00:15 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill there be between 17 and 19 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide in 2026?$23.10Jul 12, 19:36 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 12, 00:18 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Trump meet with Xi Jinping in July 2026?$17.30Jul 11, 13:34 UTC
- TRADESELLWill no press briefing air by July 31?$5.76Jul 11, 12:54 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$13.36Jul 11, 08:04 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 11, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYBab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31?$80.95Jul 10, 16:19 UTC
- TRADESELLChina x Philippines military clash before 2027?$305.99Jul 10, 15:45 UTC
- TRADEBUY9.0 or above earthquake before 2027?$78.33Jul 10, 02:37 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?$40.76Jul 10, 02:36 UTC
- TRADEBUYPutin out as President of Russia by June 30, 2027?$164.00Jul 10, 01:38 UTC
- YIELD$0.04Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYChina ballistic missile launch by December 31?$4.88Jul 9, 21:45 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
18/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Closed-market sample is still too small to treat the win rate as durable.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
100% win rate over 4 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
0/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
40 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 59/100.
4 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 40
- Avg trade size
- $64.61
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jul 8, 00:36 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 13, 13:16 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 4 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.