Reflecting-Cellar
0x659db5d7c035771e1b1b3243e544207bae71a037
Wallet digest
Activity score
60/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
80
Open notional
$8.70
Total PnL
$-1.3K
Realised
$382.03
Win rate
50%
12 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 80- YES
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
214 shares @ 11.0¢·now 3.4¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$7.27
$-16.26
- YES
Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of June 2026?
22 shares @ 18.0¢·now 2.9¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.66
$-3.38
- YES
Will Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
438 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.1¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.66
$-3.29
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?
43 shares @ 16.5¢·now 0.3¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$0.11
$-7.02
- YES
Will xAI have the best AI model for coding at the end of 2025?
14608 shares @ 0.9¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-131.15
- YES
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $100,000 on December 11?
12963 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 11, 2025$0.00
$-12.96
- NO
Will Trump lower tariffs on China in April?
12000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 30, 2025$0.00
$-30.00
- YES
Will the Miami Heat win the 2025 NBA Finals?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will the Dallas Mavericks win the 2025 NBA Finals?
10000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 23, 2025$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Z.ai have the top AI model on December 31?
3203 shares @ 0.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-7.20
Recent activity
- REDEEMUFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$100.00May 10, 01:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$14.53May 9, 17:27 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Djorden Santos vs. Baisangur Susurkaev (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$12.00May 9, 16:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Roman Kopylov vs. Marco Tulio (Middleweight, Early Prelims)$35.00May 9, 15:28 UTC
- TRADEBUYUFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)$22.51May 9, 15:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$1.11May 9, 15:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$93.50Apr 19, 09:03 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$1.25Apr 19, 07:17 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$8.14Apr 19, 07:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?$5.00Apr 18, 17:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$7.35Mar 21, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill the Sacramento Kings win the 2025 NBA Finals?$0.00Mar 21, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMWill Alibaba have the third-best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.00Mar 21, 21:23 UTC
- REDEEMUFC 317: Price vs. Smith $0.00Mar 21, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Baidu have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?$0.00Mar 21, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of November 2025?$0.00Mar 21, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Moonshot have the best AI model at the end of January 2026?$0.00Mar 21, 21:22 UTC
- REDEEMWill Google have the third-best AI model at the end of February 2026?$1.94Mar 21, 21:22 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of June 2026?$3.72Mar 5, 20:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill OpenAI have the best AI model for math on March 31?$10.83Mar 5, 20:01 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 41
- Avg trade size
- $6.69
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 2, 02:46 UTC
- Last active
- May 10, 01:17 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 12 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".