Pessimistic-Bakeware
0x65abaac57a7095d7f88b073a26b5f8f2f4cb273d
Activity score
75/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
33
Open notional
$2.0K
Total PnL
$-320.53
Realised
$-77.36
Win rate
38%
8 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 33- NO
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
500 shares @ 98.7¢·now 99.2¢·exp May 15, 2026$495.75
$2.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
300 shares @ 95.4¢·now 95.0¢·exp May 12, 2026$284.85
$-1.35
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
300 shares @ 96.3¢·now 92.8¢·exp May 15, 2026$278.24
$-10.65
- NO
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
300 shares @ 91.0¢·now 82.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$247.50
$-25.50
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?
200 shares @ 92.4¢·now 77.5¢·exp May 15, 2026$155.10
$-29.70
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
200 shares @ 86.1¢·now 60.8¢·exp May 12, 2026$121.59
$-50.52
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
100 shares @ 89.5¢·now 92.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$92.50
$3.00
- NO
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?
150 shares @ 70.3¢·now 59.5¢·exp May 12, 2026$89.25
$-16.25
- NO
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?
75 shares @ 77.3¢·now 64.5¢·exp May 11, 2026$48.37
$-9.62
- YES
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?
455 shares @ 11.0¢·now 8.6¢·exp Jul 20, 2026$39.27
$-10.73
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$27.674h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 11 to May 13, 2026?$9.335h ago
- MAKER_REBATE$6.445h ago
- YIELD$0.016h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$99.997h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 7 to May 9, 2026?$2.0K7h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$44.509h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$1.169h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$4.679h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post <40 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$11.679h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 9 to May 11, 2026?$45.239h ago
- MERGEWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$50.0010h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$15.5011h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$5.0012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$31.5012h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$34.0413h ago
- TRADEBUYWill Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from May 5 to May 12, 2026?$57.9613h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.0014h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.0014h ago
- REDEEMWill Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from May 1 to May 8, 2026?$0.0014h ago
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 28
- Avg trade size
- $71.95
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- 14h ago
- Last active
- 4h ago
- Win rate sample
- 8 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read — copy-risk bar is inverted so green is always "better for the user".
