0x65cf4bbfcca8aacc0ec91fe2cefa2e5566da3aaf
0x65cf4bbfcca8aacc0ec91fe2cefa2e5566da3aaf
Wallet digest
Activity score
56/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
11
Open notional
$2.92
Total PnL
$-29.73
Realised
$-0.65
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 11- DOWN
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET
1 shares @ 67.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.49
$0.49
- UP
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET
1 shares @ 70.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 25, 2026$1.43
$0.43
- YES
Will Bitcoin dip to $66,000 on June 1?
4000 shares @ 0.1¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 2, 2026$0.00
$-4.00
- YES
Will DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?
83 shares @ 12.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?
50 shares @ 2.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 18, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?
33 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 14, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?
32 shares @ 31.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 24, 2026$0.00
$-10.00
- YES
Will Iraq win on 2026-06-16?
14 shares @ 7.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 16, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?
7 shares @ 15.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 17, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET$1.06Jun 25, 11:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYBitcoin Up or Down - June 25, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET$1.06Jun 25, 11:47 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill DR Congo win on 2026-06-23?$10.66Jun 24, 02:45 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Colombia vs. DR Congo end in a draw?$10.61Jun 24, 02:44 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Abelardo de la Espriella win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$48.20Jun 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?$22.91Jun 23, 01:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$1.07Jun 18, 03:58 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$0.02Jun 18, 03:52 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$0.33Jun 18, 03:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan win on 2026-06-17?$1.07Jun 18, 02:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Uzbekistan vs. Colombia end in a draw?$1.06Jun 18, 02:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Argentina vs. Algeria end in a draw?$1.07Jun 17, 02:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq win on 2026-06-16?$1.07Jun 16, 21:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Iraq vs. Norway end in a draw?$1.07Jun 16, 21:55 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$1.88Jun 15, 04:04 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden vs. Tunisia end in a draw?$1.06Jun 15, 02:58 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Sweden win on 2026-06-14?$1.05Jun 15, 01:51 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire vs. Ecuador end in a draw?$1.07Jun 15, 01:02 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$3.38Jun 15, 00:57 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Côte d'Ivoire win on 2026-06-14?$1.06Jun 14, 23:59 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 1 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
30 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 60/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 30
- Avg trade size
- $7.35
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- May 26, 04:22 UTC
- Last active
- Jun 25, 11:51 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 1 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.