Powerless-Inverse
0x6625c0c3bd0342bca548684c56fa364860894fed
Wallet digest
Activity score
45/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
30
Open notional
$11.13
Total PnL
$-31.53
Realised
$-1.01
Win rate
10%
10 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 30- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?
3 shares @ 79.0¢·now 84.5¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- NO
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
4 shares @ 51.0¢·now 54.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$2.14
$0.14
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 13?
2 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$2.00
$0.00
- NO
Will Xi meet with Takaichi by September 30, 2026?
2 shares @ 99.0¢·now 97.6¢·exp Sep 30, 2026$1.97
$-0.03
- YES
Will Xi Jinping visit US before 2027?
2 shares @ 93.0¢·now 95.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.53
$0.03
- NO
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 13?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Aug 13, 2026$1.00
$0.00
- YES
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 3.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.19
$-0.81
- NO
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?
3 shares @ 29.0¢·now 4.5¢·exp Aug 31, 2026$0.16
$-0.84
- NO
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase January 20-26?
122 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jan 27, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- YES
Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 37°C on August 2?
63 shares @ 1.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Aug 2, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- REDEEMWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 12?$2.07Aug 12, 16:25 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 12?$90.00Aug 12, 16:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 32°C or below on August 13?$2.00Aug 12, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 33°C on August 13?$1.00Aug 12, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the highest temperature in Chongqing be 34°C on August 12?$2.00Aug 12, 03:26 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 12?$89.83Aug 12, 03:24 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Tamim bin Hamad Al Thani win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.99Aug 12, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$9.98Aug 12, 03:23 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?$29.78Aug 11, 12:16 UTC
- TRADESELLWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$49.64Aug 11, 12:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $150 in August?$49.81Aug 8, 09:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin reach $85,000 in August?$29.83Aug 8, 09:01 UTC
- TRADESELLWill UNRWA win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.99Aug 8, 09:00 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Volodymyr Zelenskyy win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?$0.99Aug 8, 09:00 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 7?$50.00Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- REDEEMWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7?$30.00Aug 7, 16:14 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$9.99Aug 7, 06:12 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of XRP be above $1.10 on August 7?$49.95Aug 7, 06:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the price of Ethereum be above $2,000 on August 7?$29.86Aug 7, 06:10 UTC
- TRADESELLWill Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?$89.81Aug 7, 06:05 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
28/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
10% win rate over 10 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
14/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
37 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 45/100.
10 closed markets. Enough to inspect, not enough to trust.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 37
- Avg trade size
- $18.41
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Aug 1, 03:49 UTC
- Last active
- Aug 12, 16:25 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 10 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.