Faint-Frock
0x6630a5c43c850dd8eb8cec432eafe0f26e279944
Wallet digest
Activity score
67/100
Performance measurable
Open positions
138
Open notional
$6.82
Total PnL
$-364.54
Realised
$65.02
Win rate
70%
46 closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 138- YES
Will the Democratic Party win the popular vote in the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives midterm elections by between 6% and 8%?
9 shares @ 18.0¢·now 25.0¢·exp Nov 3, 2026$2.17
$0.61
- YES
Will inflation reach more than 4.5% in 2026?
8 shares @ 20.0¢·now 24.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.92
$0.32
- YES
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 by December 31, 2026?
41 shares @ 4.0¢·now 3.2¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$1.32
$-0.33
- YES
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
13 shares @ 12.0¢·now 8.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$1.13
$-0.47
- YES
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
32 shares @ 36.0¢·now 0.9¢·exp Jul 31, 2026$0.28
$-11.07
- NO
Will Samsunspor win on 2026-04-13?
1180 shares @ 1.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-11.89
- OVER
1. FSV Mainz 05 vs. SC Freiburg: O/U 4.5
277 shares @ 7.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-20.92
- YES
Will Associação Chapecoense de Futebol win on 2026-04-12?
191 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-5.74
- YES
Will US Sassuolo Calcio win on 2026-04-12?
185 shares @ 3.5¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 12, 2026$0.00
$-6.52
- OVER
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Gaziantep FK: O/U 4.5
177 shares @ 3.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 13, 2026$0.00
$-5.84
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.00Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 14, 00:12 UTC
- REDEEMWill the US announce a blockade on Iran by July 31?$8.25Jul 13, 16:32 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 13, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 12, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 11, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 10, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 9, 00:23 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 8, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 7, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 6, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 5, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 4, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 3, 00:13 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 2, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?$14.20Jul 1, 02:31 UTC
- YIELD$0.00Jul 1, 00:13 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$0.12Jun 30, 14:24 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$0.59Jun 30, 14:22 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill England win on 2026-07-01?$0.30Jun 30, 14:22 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Needs review
76/100Useful as a watchlist input, but the edge claim still needs resolved history, cost, and source checks.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
70% win rate over 46 closed markets.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Watch only
29/100Wallet flow is useful for attention, but missing/review stages stop it from becoming paper attribution.
31 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 33/100.
46 closed markets, 70% win rate.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 31
- Avg trade size
- $2.74
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Jun 28, 12:21 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 15, 00:12 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 46 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.