Beloved-Collagen
0x663226e8defa967e380291533695372e645092a0
Wallet digest
Activity score
89/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
12
Open notional
$535.35
Total PnL
$-3.35
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 12- NO
Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?
404 shares @ 30.0¢·now 69.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$280.63
$159.29
- NO
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?
700 shares @ 25.7¢·now 33.0¢·exp Jan 1, 2027$231.00
$51.00
- NO
Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $6,000 by end of December?
26 shares @ 39.0¢·now 92.5¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$23.72
$13.72
- YES
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?
10000 shares @ 0.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-30.00
- NO
US x Iran ceasefire by April 7?
3000 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 7, 2026$0.00
$-12.00
- YES
Will People’s Party (PPLE) finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 Thai legislative election?
1801 shares @ 3.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Feb 8, 2026$0.00
$-55.00
- YES
Will the Gävle Goat burn in 2025?
1500 shares @ 0.4¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2025$0.00
$-6.00
- YES
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?
400 shares @ 19.3¢·now 0.0¢·exp May 15, 2026$0.00
$-77.20
- YES
Will Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?
163 shares @ 9.2¢·now 0.0¢·exp Jun 20, 2026$0.00
$-15.00
- YES
Will Liverpool FC vs. Fulham FC end in a draw?
131 shares @ 12.6¢·now 0.0¢·exp Apr 11, 2026$0.00
$-16.55
Recent activity
- YIELD$0.02Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 6, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 5, 00:12 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 4, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jul 3, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 2, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jul 1, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 30, 00:17 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 29, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 28, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 27, 00:11 UTC
- YIELD$0.01Jun 26, 00:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 25, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 24, 00:10 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Bitcoin dip to $55,000 by December 31, 2026?$20.00Jun 23, 13:10 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 23, 00:14 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 22, 00:19 UTC
- YIELD$0.02Jun 21, 00:11 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$5.14Jun 20, 17:19 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Netherlands vs. Sweden end in a draw?$10.25Jun 20, 17:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Use this wallet as an attention signal only, then verify liquidity and resolution risk.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
25 live trades, 0 ledger trades, copy-risk 68/100.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 25
- Avg trade size
- $62.48
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Mar 18, 05:05 UTC
- Last active
- Jul 7, 00:15 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.