Will USD/JPY hit 150 (Low) in 2026?
Probability
46¢
1h
+0.0pp
24h
+1.0pp
24h Vol
$5.00
Liquidity
$559.39
Probability (last 7 days)
-5.5pp 7dWhy did it move?
Structured · 3 factors- 1
Up 1pp over 24h
Now 46¢; flat in the last hour.
- 2
Resolution-risk signal firing
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 3
Wide spread — 22.0¢
Bid-ask spread is wide enough that intraday moves overstate any tradeable edge. Most of the headline pp move would be eaten by spread on a market order.
What to track next
- Verify the resolution source on this page — exchange feed, official release, news consensus — before treating any move as new information.
Verification actions only — never trade recommendations.
Each factor is grounded in a single named metric you can verify on this page — probability, volume, liquidity, signal, resolution state. No predictions, no prose hallucinations.
AI prose summary
Prose narration of the same metrics shown in the structured breakdown above. Cites only the market data on this page — no news, no predictions. Use the structured factors as the canonical answer; this is here for readability.
Timeline — news, trades, signals, price moves
- 0s agoResolveLOW
Market resolves in 5985.4h
- 14:34SignalLOW
Signal · Resolution risk
Expires in 5985h with open resolution ambiguity.
- 12:00PriceMEDIUM
Probability up 3.0pp
to 46¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 7.5pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 45¢
- 1d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 5.0pp
to 45¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 44¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -6.5pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.0pp
to 42¢
- 2d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability up 4.5pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -5.0pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -3.5pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -4.5pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -9.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 44¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.5pp
to 43¢
- 3d agoPriceMEDIUM
Probability down -8.0pp
to 44¢
Active signals
Recent Trades
No recent trades visible from the Data API for this market.
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Market Description
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Investing.com low price (“L”) for any USD/JPY hourly candle for an hour on or before the listed end date (ET) is equal to or below the listed price. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Data for a given candle will be considered finalized once the next candle appears on the specified graph. The last trading day of a given week will be considered finalized once the market closes on that day, typically at 5 PM ET on Friday. This market will resolve as soon as any finalized USD/JPY hourly candle is equal to or below the listed price, or once the final hourly candle in the specified period is finalized. A candle starting at 11:00 PM ET on a given date will be considered to be on that date. This market’s resolution will be based solely on information from the “L” figure located at the top of the USD/JPY Streaming Chart on Investing.com for the specified currency pair (https://www.investing.com/currencies/usd-jpy-chart).
Resolution & Risk
MEDIUM risk- End date
- Dec 31, 2026
- UMA status
- n/a
- Resolution source
- Not specified in metadata
- Market type
- Binary
- No primary resolution source listed — read the full market rules before acting.
- Wide spread (22.0¢) — liquidity risk on entry/exit.
Alerts
In-app banners work now. Email / Telegram / Discord delivery lands when the backend alert dispatcher ships (needs RESEND_API_KEY + per-user webhook storage).