Abandoned-Kazoo
0x66928925f5bd8b57afb6717e9ea125b6f0254b1d
Wallet digest
Activity score
69/100
Performance: thin sample
Open positions
18
Open notional
$41.41
Total PnL
$-8.59
Realised
$0.00
Win rate
n/a
too few closed
Largest open positions
showing 10 of 18- NO
Will China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?
34 shares @ 96.6¢·now 100.0¢·exp Jun 30, 2026$34.16
$1.16
- YES
Will ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?
1 shares @ 90.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 31, 2025$1.11
$0.11
- YES
Will Equifax Inc. (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?
1 shares @ 95.0¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 21, 2025$1.05
$0.05
- NO
Will Russia strike Kyiv on February 19, 2026?
1 shares @ 96.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.03
$0.03
- NO
US x Iran meeting by February 21, 2026?
1 shares @ 97.7¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?
1 shares @ 97.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.02
$0.02
- NO
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?
1 shares @ 99.5¢·now 100.0¢·exp Feb 28, 2026$1.00
$0.01
- FVD
Netherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP
1 shares @ 99.9¢·now 100.0¢·exp Oct 29, 2025$1.00
$0.00
- NO
Will the US strike Somalia next?
124 shares @ 0.8¢·now 0.0¢·exp Dec 31, 2026$0.00
$-1.00
- NO
Will Progress Software (PRGS) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?
5 shares @ 19.0¢·now 0.0¢·exp Oct 6, 2025$0.00
$-1.00
Recent activity
- TRADEBUYWill China invade Taiwan by June 30, 2026?$33.00Feb 19, 06:09 UTC
- TRADEBUYUS x Iran meeting by February 21, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Russia strike Kyiv on February 19, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 06:08 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 19, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYRussia x Ukraine ceasefire by February 28, 2026?$1.00Feb 19, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill the US strike Somalia next?$1.00Feb 19, 06:07 UTC
- TRADEBUYKhamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?$1.00Feb 19, 06:06 UTC
- TRADEBUYNetherlands Parliamentary Election: FVD vs SP$1.00Oct 30, 04:49 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill ChatGPT be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on October 31?$1.00Oct 30, 04:49 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$0.00Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$0.00Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$0.00Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$0.00Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$0.00Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$0.00Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMAnother 7.0 or above earthquake by October 31?$1.05Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill MillerKnoll (MLKN) beat its quarterly EPS estimate?$1.27Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- REDEEMWill Trump say "America" or "American" 20+ times at Charlie Kirk Memorial Event on September 21?$2.01Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill BlackRock (BLK) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 13, 16:16 UTC
- TRADEBUYWill Equifax Inc. (EFX) beat quarterly earnings?$1.00Oct 13, 16:15 UTC
Persistent ledger timeline
persistentNo trades for this wallet in Orrery's persistent ledger yet. The whale-ingest cron writes ≥ $5k trades every 10 minutes; check back after a recovery window.
Wallet edge sanity
Do not mirror
0/100Treat this wallet as noise/context only until resolved history, copy-risk, and liquidity checks improve.
Win rate is hidden until at least 3 closed markets exist for this wallet.
Large size, concentration, or thin history makes this wallet unsafe to imitate.
Many positions were entered near obvious prices, which can inflate win rate while hiding tail risk.
Required before treating wallet flow as useful
Only 0 closed markets; headline win rate is intentionally hidden.
A wallet trade is not useful unless a later follower could still enter after spread, slippage, and latency.
Large positions need enough depth to exit; mark-to-market PnL is not cash.
The trade still needs source, expiry, dispute, and settlement checks at the market level.
Leaderboards surface visible winners; losing or abandoned wallets disappear from attention.
Wallet intelligence filter
Blocked
0/100Wallet flow is blocked as an intelligence signal until hard failures are fixed.
Wallet activity exists, but copy-risk is too high for interpretation.
Too few closed markets. Do not infer edge from open PnL or leaderboard rank.
No market-level spread or simulated execution cost is attached yet.
No source/expiry/dispute risk context is attached yet.
No market liquidity/depth context is attached yet.
No delayed-entry simulation is attached yet.
No paper receipts attribute this wallet signal to later outcomes yet.
Ledger intelligence
persistent7d volume
$0.00
0 trades
30d volume
$0.00
0 trades
Buy share
50%
Sample
low
0 ledger trades
No persistent whale trades for this wallet yet. The live Data API score above can still be useful, but the durable ledger sample is empty.
Profile dimensions
Trade count + how recently they were active. Low = dormant.
How trustworthy the win-rate number is, based on sample size of closed markets.
Share of trades concentrated in their top category.
Share of positions taken while the market was still uncertain (30–70¢) rather than after direction was obvious.
How risky to blindly copy. Higher = riskier — large size, single-position exposure, or thin win-rate sample.
- Trades (all time)
- 29
- Avg trade size
- $133.51
- Top category
- —
- Category concentration
- 0%
- First seen
- Dec 11, 07:21 UTC
- Last active
- Feb 19, 06:09 UTC
- Win rate sample
- 0 closed
The single Activity score is kept for the leaderboard sort. The five dimensions above are the canonical read; copy-risk is inverted so green means lower risk of over-reading the wallet.